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The Development of Both HIV And Its Cure As the number of people infected (...
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ProblemsthatManufacturersFace Manufacturerswhowishtoexporttheirgoodstoothercountries【51】manypracticalproblems. Firstlythereisthequestionofevaluatingthemarketand【52】wheretheproduct【53】well.This【54】examiningrivalproductstosee【55】thesealreadyfillthedemandornotandconsideringiftheproposedsellingpricewillbecompetitive.【56】istofindsomeoneinthechosenmarket【57】willbuytheproduct.Thebuyercouldbeawholesalerwhowill【58】selltheproducttoshopsandstoresorsomeonewitharetailoutletof【59】own.Finallythere’’s【60】wholequestionofarrangingthedetailsofthedealsuchasfinancetransportationstorage.【61】amanufacturerknowstheexportmarketverywellindeedthebestanswertoalltheseproblemsisundoubtedlytofindagoodagentwhocanmakethewholeprojectviable.Anagentwillprovideinformationintroductionsandcontactsandinreturnheorshewillgetan【62】percentageformthemanufacturer. WhenPaulOsmantheSalesManagerofJayalMotorswhich【63】mopedsvisitedacityinanattempttobreakintoanewmarketfindinganagentwashisfirstjob.HewasfortunatetobeintroducedtoAdamFortesqueawellestablishedagentwhois【64】impressedbytheJayalmopedstoputhisassistantEveSorrellontothejobofhelpingPaulinhisproposedexpansionintotheexportmarket. 【65】thisattemptbringsitsownproblemsandPaulhasrealizedthatJayalMotorswillhavetoadaptquicklyifitistobecomeanexpandinginternationalcompany.
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第二篇{{/B}} ?????? ?{{B}}DriventoDistraction{{/B}}??JoeCoyneslidesintothe driver’sseatstarsupthecarandheadstotown.Theemptystretchof interstategiveswaytourbancongestionandCoynehitsthebrakeasa pedestriansuddenlycrossesthestreetinfrontofhim.??Buteven ifhehadn’tstoppedintimethewomanwouldhavebeensafe.Sheisn’treal. Neitheristhetown.AndCoyneisn’treallydriving.Coyneisdemonstratinga computerizeddrivingsimulatorthatishelpingresearchersatOldDominion UniversityODUexaminehowin-vehicleguidancesystemsaffecttheperson behindthewheel.??Theresearcherswanttoknowifsuchsystems whichgiveaudibleorwrittendirectionsaretoodistracting—orwhetherany distractionsareoffsetbythebenefitsdriversgetfromhavinghelpfinding theirwayinunfamiliarlocations.??We’relookingatthe performanceandmentalworkloadofdriverssaidCarylBaldwintheassistant psychologyprofessorleadingtheresearchwhichinvolvesmeasuringdrives’ reactiontimeandbrainactivityastheyrespondtoauditoryandvisual cues.??Theresearchersjustcompletedastudyofthemental workloadinvolvedindrivingthroughdifferentkindsofenvironmentsandheavy vs.lighttraffic.Preliminaryresultsshowthataspeoplegetintomore challengingdrivingsituationstheydon’thaveanyextramentalenergyto respondtosomethingelseintheenvironmentBaldwinsaid.??But thetradeoffscouldbeworthitshesaid.Thenextstepistotestdifferent waysofgivingdriversnavigationalinformationandhowthosemethodschangethe drivers’mentalworkload.??Isitbestiftheyseeapicture’ thatshowstheirpositionamapkindofdisplay?Baldwinsaid.Isitbestif theyhearit???Navigationalsystemsnowonthemarketgive point-by-pointdirectionsthatfollowaprescribedroute.They’revery unforgivingBaldwinsaid.Ifyoumissatarntheycanalmostseemtoget angry.??Thatstyleofdirectionsalsocanbefrustratingfor peoplewhoprefermoregeneralinstructions.Butsuchbroaddirectionscan confusedriverswhopreferroutedirectionsBaldwinsaid.? ?Perhapsmanufacturersshouldallowdriverstochoosethestyleof directionstheywantormodifysystemstopresentsomeinformationinaway thatmakessenseforpeoplewhopreferthesurveystyleshesaid.? ?Interestinglyotherresearchhasshownthatabout60percentofmen preferthesurveystylewhile60percentwomenprefertheroutestyle Baldwinsaid.Thisexplainstheclassiclittlethingofwhymendon’tliketo stopandaskfordirectionsandwomendoBaldwin added.Whatdoresearcherswanttofindoutaccordingtothethirdandfourthparagraphs?
{{*HTML*}}??阅读下面这篇短文短文后有2项测试任务11~4题要求从所给的6个选项中为第 2~5段每段选择1个正确的小标题2第5~8题要求从所给的6个选项中选择4个正确的选项分别完成每个句子 ????????{{B}}ThePaper Chase{{/B}}??Runningahouseisalotlikerunningabusiness saysStephanieDentonaprofessionalorganizerbasedinCincinnatiOhiowho specializesinbothresidentialandcommercialpaperworkandrecordkeeping.To getasuccessfulgriponorganizingdocumentsbillsandothermaterials Dentonsuggeststhefollowingtips.??Createaspaceinwhichyou canalwaysdoyourpaperwork.Thisisperhapsthemostimportantelementofa successfulsystem.Ifyoucan’tdevoteanentiredesktothetaskatleast investinarollingfilecarttostoreactivepaperworkandatwo-drawerfile cabinetforfamilyrecords.Storetherollingfilecartwhereveritismost convenientandcomfortabletodoyourworkwhetherthatisthekitchenoffice orfamilyroom.??Whenindoubtthrowitout.Thefirststepto implementingaworkablefilingsystemistoeliminatepaperyoudon’tusedon’t needorthatyoucouldeasilyaccessagainelsewhere.Throwoutduplicate statementsoldcatalogsandallofthecouponsmailingsorofferingsyou’ll neverhaveanopportunitytouseorevenread.??Setasidetwo daysamonthtopaybills.Ifamonthlyduedatedoesn’tfitintoyourcycle callupthecreditorandsuggestamoreconvenientdate.Keeptwomanilafolders atthefrontofyoursystemforcurrentbills—onetocorrespondwitheach bill-payingday—andfileallincomingbills.Keepalistinthefrontofeach folderofwhatneedstobepaidincasetheinvoiceneverarrivesorgets misplaced.??Thinkofyourfilingsystemnotasarigidtoolbut asalivingbreathingsystemthatcanaccommodateyourchangingneeds.Agood filingsystemisbothmentallyandphysicallyflexible.Everyone’sneedsare differentsaysDentonbutwhendevisingafillingsystemaskyourself:Where wouldIlookforthis?Createmainheadingsforyourfilingsystemsuchas InvestmentsTaxesChildrenandsoforthandfileindividualfoldersunder themainheadings.Neveroverstuffyourfiles.
{{*HTML*}}??阅读下面这篇短文短文后有2项测试任务11~4题要求从所给的6个选项中为第 2~5段每段选择1个正确的小标题2第5~8题要求从所给的6个选项中选择4个正确的选项分别完成每个句子 ????????{{B}}ThePaper Chase{{/B}}??Runningahouseisalotlikerunningabusiness saysStephanieDentonaprofessionalorganizerbasedinCincinnatiOhiowho specializesinbothresidentialandcommercialpaperworkandrecordkeeping.To getasuccessfulgriponorganizingdocumentsbillsandothermaterials Dentonsuggeststhefollowingtips.??Createaspaceinwhichyou canalwaysdoyourpaperwork.Thisisperhapsthemostimportantelementofa successfulsystem.Ifyoucan’tdevoteanentiredesktothetaskatleast investinarollingfilecarttostoreactivepaperworkandatwo-drawerfile cabinetforfamilyrecords.Storetherollingfilecartwhereveritismost convenientandcomfortabletodoyourworkwhetherthatisthekitchenoffice orfamilyroom.??Whenindoubtthrowitout.Thefirststepto implementingaworkablefilingsystemistoeliminatepaperyoudon’tusedon’t needorthatyoucouldeasilyaccessagainelsewhere.Throwoutduplicate statementsoldcatalogsandallofthecouponsmailingsorofferingsyou’ll neverhaveanopportunitytouseorevenread.??Setasidetwo daysamonthtopaybills.Ifamonthlyduedatedoesn’tfitintoyourcycle callupthecreditorandsuggestamoreconvenientdate.Keeptwomanilafolders atthefrontofyoursystemforcurrentbills—onetocorrespondwitheach bill-payingday—andfileallincomingbills.Keepalistinthefrontofeach folderofwhatneedstobepaidincasetheinvoiceneverarrivesorgets misplaced.??Thinkofyourfilingsystemnotasarigidtoolbut asalivingbreathingsystemthatcanaccommodateyourchangingneeds.Agood filingsystemisbothmentallyandphysicallyflexible.Everyone’sneedsare differentsaysDentonbutwhendevisingafillingsystemaskyourself:Where wouldIlookforthis?Createmainheadingsforyourfilingsystemsuchas InvestmentsTaxesChildrenandsoforthandfileindividualfoldersunder themainheadings.Neveroverstuffyourfiles.
{{*HTML*}}??阅读下成这篇短文短文后列出了7个句子请根据短文的内容对每个句子作出判断 ??????? ??{{B}}BeesandColor{{/B}}??Onourtableinthegarden weputabluecardandallaroundthisbluecardweputanumberofdifferent graycards.Thesegraycardsareofallpossibleshadesofgraylandinclude whiteandblack.Oneachcardawatch-glassisplaced.Thewatch-glassonthe bluecardhassomesyrup果汁init;alltheothersareempty.Afterashort timebeesfindthesyrupandtheycomeforitagainandagain.Thenaftersome hourswetakeawaythewatch-glassofsyrupwhichwasonthebluecardandput anemptyoneinitsplace.??Nowwhatdothebeesdo?Theystill gostraighttothebluecardalthoughthereisnosyrupthem.Theydonotgoto anyofthegraycardsinspiteofthefactthatoneofthegraycardsisof exacfiythesamebrightnessasthebluecard.Thusthebeesdonotmistakeany shadeofgrayforblue.Inhiswaywehaveprovedthattheydoreallyseeblue asacolor.??Wecanfindoutinjustthesamewaywhatother colorsbeescansee.Itturnsoutthatbeescanseevariouscolorsbutthese insectsdifferfromusasregardstheircolor-senseintwoveryinteresting ways.Supposewetrainbeestocometoaredcardandhavingdonesoweput theredcardonthetableinthegardenamongthesetofdifferentgraycards. Thistimewefindthatthebeesmistakeredfordarkgrayorblack.Theycannot distinguishbetweenthem.Thismeansthatredisnotacoloratallforbees; forthemitisjustdarkgrayorblack.??Thatisonestrange fact;hereisanother.Arainbowisredononeedgevioletontheother. Outsidethevioletoftherainbowthereisanothercolorwhichwecannotseeat all.Thiscolorbeyondthevioletinvisibletousiscalledtheultra-violet. Althoughitisinvisibleweknowthattheultra-violetistherebecauseit affectsaphotographicplate.Nowalthoughweareunabletoseeultra-violet lightbeescandoso;forthemultra-violetisacolor.Thusbeesseeacolor whichwecannotevenimagine.Thishasbeenfoundoutbytrainingbeestocome forsyruptovariouspartsofaspectrumorartificialrainbowthrownbya prismonatableinadarkroom.Insuchanexperimenttheinsectscanbetaught toflytotheultra-violetwhichforusisjust darkness.Thethirdparagraphtellsusthatbeesalsoregardredasacolor.
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第三篇{{/B}} ??????? {{B}}EarlyorLaterDayCare{{/B}}??TheBritishpsychoanalystJohn Bowlbymaintainsthatseparationfromtheparentsduringthesensitive attachmentperiodfrombirthtothreemayscarachild’spersonalityand predisposetoemotionalproblemsinlaterlife.Somepeoplehavedrawnthe conclusionfromBowlby’sworkthatchildrenshouldnotbesubjectedtodaycare beforetheageofthreebecauseoftheparentalseparationitentailsandmany peopledobelievethis.Buttherearealsoargumentsagainstsuchastrong conclusion.??Firstlyanthropologistspointoutthatthe insulatedloveaffairbetweenchildrenandparentsfoundinmodemsocieties doesnotusuallyexistintraditionalsocieties.Forexampleinsometribal societiessuchastheNgonithefatherandmotherofachilddidnotrear theirinfantalone--farfromit.Secondlycommonsensetellsusthatdaycare wouldnotbesowidespreadtodayifparentscare-takersfoundchildrenhad problemswithit.Statisticalstudiesofthiskindhavenotyetbeencardedout andeveniftheyweretheresultswouldbecertaintobecomplicatedand controversial.Thirdlyinthelastdecadetherehavebeenanumberofcareful Americanstudiesofchildrenindaycareandtheyhaveuniformlyreportedthat daycarehadaneutralorslightlypositiveeffectonchildren’sdevelopment. Butteststhathavehadtobeusedtomeasurethisdevelopmentarenotwidely enoughacceptedtosettletheissue.??ButBowlby’sanalysis raisesthepossibilitythatearlydaycarehasdelayedeffects.Thepossibility thatsuchcaremightleadtosaymorementalillnessorcrime15or20years latercanonlybeexploredbytheuseofstatistics.Whateverthelong-term effectsparentssometimesfindtheimmediateeffectsdifficulttodealwith. Childrenunderthreearelikelytoprotestatleavingtheirparentsandshow unhappiness.Attheageofthreeorthreeandahalfalmostallchildrenfind thetransitiontonurseryeasyandthisisundoubtedlywhymoreandmore parentsmakeuseofchildcareatthistime.Thematterthenisfarfrom clear-cutthoughexperienceandavailableevidenceindicatethatearlycareis reasonableforinfants.Whichofthefollowingbestexpressesthewriter’sattitudetowardsearlydaycare?
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{{*HTML*}}??阅读下面这篇短文短文后有2项测试任务11~4题要求从所给的6个选项中为第 2~5段每段选择1个正确的小标题2第5~8题要求从所给的6个选项中选择4个正确的选项分别完成每个句子 ????????{{B}}ThePaper Chase{{/B}}??Runningahouseisalotlikerunningabusiness saysStephanieDentonaprofessionalorganizerbasedinCincinnatiOhiowho specializesinbothresidentialandcommercialpaperworkandrecordkeeping.To getasuccessfulgriponorganizingdocumentsbillsandothermaterials Dentonsuggeststhefollowingtips.??Createaspaceinwhichyou canalwaysdoyourpaperwork.Thisisperhapsthemostimportantelementofa successfulsystem.Ifyoucan’tdevoteanentiredesktothetaskatleast investinarollingfilecarttostoreactivepaperworkandatwo-drawerfile cabinetforfamilyrecords.Storetherollingfilecartwhereveritismost convenientandcomfortabletodoyourworkwhetherthatisthekitchenoffice orfamilyroom.??Whenindoubtthrowitout.Thefirststepto implementingaworkablefilingsystemistoeliminatepaperyoudon’tusedon’t needorthatyoucouldeasilyaccessagainelsewhere.Throwoutduplicate statementsoldcatalogsandallofthecouponsmailingsorofferingsyou’ll neverhaveanopportunitytouseorevenread.??Setasidetwo daysamonthtopaybills.Ifamonthlyduedatedoesn’tfitintoyourcycle callupthecreditorandsuggestamoreconvenientdate.Keeptwomanilafolders atthefrontofyoursystemforcurrentbills—onetocorrespondwitheach bill-payingday—andfileallincomingbills.Keepalistinthefrontofeach folderofwhatneedstobepaidincasetheinvoiceneverarrivesorgets misplaced.??Thinkofyourfilingsystemnotasarigidtoolbut asalivingbreathingsystemthatcanaccommodateyourchangingneeds.Agood filingsystemisbothmentallyandphysicallyflexible.Everyone’sneedsare differentsaysDentonbutwhendevisingafillingsystemaskyourself:Where wouldIlookforthis?Createmainheadingsforyourfilingsystemsuchas InvestmentsTaxesChildrenandsoforthandfileindividualfoldersunder themainheadings.Neveroverstuffyourfiles.Paragraph4______
{{*HTML*}}? ?阅读下面的短文文章中有5处空白文章后有6组文字请根据文章的内容选择5组文字将其分别放回文章原有位置以恢复文章原貌 ??????{{B}}Lookingtothe Future{{/B}}??Whenamagazineforhigh-schoolstudentsaskedits readerswhatlifewouldbelikeintwentyyearstheysaid:Machineswouldbe runbysolarpower.Buildingswouldrotatesotheycouldfollowthesuntotake maximumadvantageofitslightandheat.Wallswouldradiatelightandchange colorwiththepushofabutton.Foodwouldbereplacedbypills.{{U}}?1 ?{{/U}}.Carswouldhaveradar.Doesthissoundliketheyear2000?{{U}}? 2?{{/U}}.??Thefutureismuchtooimportanttosimplyguess aboutthewaythehighschoolstudentsdidsoexpertsareregularlyaskedto predictaccurately.{{U}}?3?{{/U}}.Butcanthey?Oneexperton citieswrote:citiesofthefuturewouldnotbecrowdedbutwouldhavespace forfarmsandfields.Peoplewouldtraveltoworkinairbuses.large all-weatherhelicopterscarryingupto200passengers.Whenapersonleftthe airbusstationhecoulddriveacoin-operatedcarequippedwithradar.Theradar equipmentofcarswouldmaketrafficaccidentsalmostunheardof’.Doesthat soundfamiliar?Iftheexperthadbeenaccurateitwouldbecausehewaswriting in1957.HissubjectwasTheCityof1982.??Ifthe professionalssometimessoundlikehigh-schoolstudentsit’sprobablybecause futurestudyisstillanewfield.Buteconomicforecastingorpredictingwhat theeconomywilldohasbeenaroundforalongtime.Itshouldbeaccurateand generallyitis.Buttherehavebeensomebigmistakesinthisfieldtoo.{{U}} ?4?{{/U}}.InOctoberofthatyearthestockmarkethaditsworst losseseverminingthousandsofinvestorswhohadputtheirfaithinfinancial foreseers.??{{U}}?5?{{/U}}In1957H.$.Randofthe RandCorporationwasaskedabouttheyear2000Onlyonethingiscertainhe answered.Childrenwillhavereachedtheageof43.A.Bycarefully studyingthepresentskilledbusinessmenscientistsandpoliticiansare supposedlyabletofigureoutinadvancewhatwillhappen.B.Schoolwouldbe taughtbyelectricalimpulsewhilewesleep.C.Oneforecasterknewthat predictionsaboutthefuturewouldalwaysbesubjecttosignificant errors.D.Inearly1929mostforecasterssawanexcellentfutureforthe stockmarket.E.Everyonemaylooktothefutureforitisalways promising.EActuallythearticlewaswrittenin1958andthequestionwas whatwilllifebelikein19787
{{*HTML*}}? ?下面有3篇短文每篇短文后有5道题每道题后面有4个选项请仔细阅读短文并根据短文回答其后面的问题从4个选项中选择1个最佳答案{{B}}第一篇{{/B}} ??????? ??{{B}}AttitudestoAIDSNow{{/B}}??Mostpeoplesaythat theUSAismakingprogressinfightingAIDS.Buttheydon’tknowthere’snocure andstronglydisagreethattheAIDSepidemicisover.??The findingsreleasedThursdaybytheKaiserFamilyFoundationreassureactivists whohaveworriedthatpublicconcernaboutAIDSmightdisappearinlightof recentnewsaboutadvancesintreatmentanddeclinesindeaths.? ?Whilepeopleareveryoptimisticabouttheadvancesthey’restill realisticaboutthefactthatthereisnocuresaysSophiaChangdirectorof HIVprogramsatthefoundation.??TheKaisersurveylikearecent USAtodayGallupPolldoesfindthatthenumberofpeoplerankingAIDSasthe country’stophealthproblemhasfallen.IntheKaiserpoll38%sayit’sthe topconcerndownfrom44%ina1996poll;intheGallupPoll29%sayAIDS isN0.1downfromI41%in1992and67%in1987.??Otherfindings fromKaiserwhichpolledmorethan1200adultsinSeptemberandOctoberand askedadditionalquestionsofanother1000adultsinNovember..? ?52%saythecountryismakingprogressagainstAIDS;upfrom32%in 1995.??51%saythegovernmentspendstoolittleon AIDS.??86%correctlysayAIDSdrugscannowlengthenlives:an equalnumbercorrectlysaythatthedrugsarenotcures.??67% incorrectlysaythatAIDSdeathsincreasedorstayedthesameinthepastyear; 24%knowdeathsfell.??DanielZingaledirectorofAIDSAction CouncilsaysI’mencouragedthattheAmericanpeoplearegettingthemessage thattheAIDSepidemicisn’tover.Ihopethedecision-makersinWashingtonare gettingthesamemessage...Wehaveseensignsofcomplacency.? ?Epidemicn.流行病;流行病的流行传播??Reassure vt.向.......一再保证安慰使放心使消除疑虑.??Polln.民意测验民意测验结果? ?Complacencyn.自满情绪沾沾自喜;满足满意TheGallupPollshowsthatthenumberofpeople______
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第三篇{{/B}} ??????? {{B}}EarlyorLaterDayCare{{/B}}??TheBritishpsychoanalystJohn Bowlbymaintainsthatseparationfromtheparentsduringthesensitive attachmentperiodfrombirthtothreemayscarachild’spersonalityand predisposetoemotionalproblemsinlaterlife.Somepeoplehavedrawnthe conclusionfromBowlby’sworkthatchildrenshouldnotbesubjectedtodaycare beforetheageofthreebecauseoftheparentalseparationitentailsandmany peopledobelievethis.Buttherearealsoargumentsagainstsuchastrong conclusion.??Firstlyanthropologistspointoutthatthe insulatedloveaffairbetweenchildrenandparentsfoundinmodemsocieties doesnotusuallyexistintraditionalsocieties.Forexampleinsometribal societiessuchastheNgonithefatherandmotherofachilddidnotrear theirinfantalone--farfromit.Secondlycommonsensetellsusthatdaycare wouldnotbesowidespreadtodayifparentscare-takersfoundchildrenhad problemswithit.Statisticalstudiesofthiskindhavenotyetbeencardedout andeveniftheyweretheresultswouldbecertaintobecomplicatedand controversial.Thirdlyinthelastdecadetherehavebeenanumberofcareful Americanstudiesofchildrenindaycareandtheyhaveuniformlyreportedthat daycarehadaneutralorslightlypositiveeffectonchildren’sdevelopment. Butteststhathavehadtobeusedtomeasurethisdevelopmentarenotwidely enoughacceptedtosettletheissue.??ButBowlby’sanalysis raisesthepossibilitythatearlydaycarehasdelayedeffects.Thepossibility thatsuchcaremightleadtosaymorementalillnessorcrime15or20years latercanonlybeexploredbytheuseofstatistics.Whateverthelong-term effectsparentssometimesfindtheimmediateeffectsdifficulttodealwith. Childrenunderthreearelikelytoprotestatleavingtheirparentsandshow unhappiness.Attheageofthreeorthreeandahalfalmostallchildrenfind thetransitiontonurseryeasyandthisisundoubtedlywhymoreandmore parentsmakeuseofchildcareatthistime.Thematterthenisfarfrom clear-cutthoughexperienceandavailableevidenceindicatethatearlycareis reasonableforinfants.WhichofthefollowingstatementswouldBowlbysupport?
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{{*HTML*}}? ?下面有3篇短文每篇短文后有5道题每道题后面有4个选项请仔细阅读短文并根据短文回答其后面的问题从4个选项中选择1个最佳答案{{B}}第一篇{{/B}} ??????? ??{{B}}AttitudestoAIDSNow{{/B}}??Mostpeoplesaythat theUSAismakingprogressinfightingAIDS.Buttheydon’tknowthere’snocure andstronglydisagreethattheAIDSepidemicisover.??The findingsreleasedThursdaybytheKaiserFamilyFoundationreassureactivists whohaveworriedthatpublicconcernaboutAIDSmightdisappearinlightof recentnewsaboutadvancesintreatmentanddeclinesindeaths.? ?Whilepeopleareveryoptimisticabouttheadvancesthey’restill realisticaboutthefactthatthereisnocuresaysSophiaChangdirectorof HIVprogramsatthefoundation.??TheKaisersurveylikearecent USAtodayGallupPolldoesfindthatthenumberofpeoplerankingAIDSasthe country’stophealthproblemhasfallen.IntheKaiserpoll38%sayit’sthe topconcerndownfrom44%ina1996poll;intheGallupPoll29%sayAIDS isN0.1downfromI41%in1992and67%in1987.??Otherfindings fromKaiserwhichpolledmorethan1200adultsinSeptemberandOctoberand askedadditionalquestionsofanother1000adultsinNovember..? ?52%saythecountryismakingprogressagainstAIDS;upfrom32%in 1995.??51%saythegovernmentspendstoolittleon AIDS.??86%correctlysayAIDSdrugscannowlengthenlives:an equalnumbercorrectlysaythatthedrugsarenotcures.??67% incorrectlysaythatAIDSdeathsincreasedorstayedthesameinthepastyear; 24%knowdeathsfell.??DanielZingaledirectorofAIDSAction CouncilsaysI’mencouragedthattheAmericanpeoplearegettingthemessage thattheAIDSepidemicisn’tover.Ihopethedecision-makersinWashingtonare gettingthesamemessage...Wehaveseensignsofcomplacency.? ?Epidemicn.流行病;流行病的流行传播??Reassure vt.向.......一再保证安慰使放心使消除疑虑.??Polln.民意测验民意测验结果? ?Complacencyn.自满情绪沾沾自喜;满足满意Whatdoactivistsworryabout?
Theseareour{{U}}motives{{/U}}fordoingit.
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ProblemsthatManufacturersFace Manufacturerswhowishtoexporttheirgoodstoothercountries【51】manypracticalproblems. Firstlythereisthequestionofevaluatingthemarketand【52】wheretheproduct【53】well.This【54】examiningrivalproductstosee【55】thesealreadyfillthedemandornotandconsideringiftheproposedsellingpricewillbecompetitive.【56】istofindsomeoneinthechosenmarket【57】willbuytheproduct.Thebuyercouldbeawholesalerwhowill【58】selltheproducttoshopsandstoresorsomeonewitharetailoutletof【59】own.Finallythere’’s【60】wholequestionofarrangingthedetailsofthedealsuchasfinancetransportationstorage.【61】amanufacturerknowstheexportmarketverywellindeedthebestanswertoalltheseproblemsisundoubtedlytofindagoodagentwhocanmakethewholeprojectviable.Anagentwillprovideinformationintroductionsandcontactsandinreturnheorshewillgetan【62】percentageformthemanufacturer. WhenPaulOsmantheSalesManagerofJayalMotorswhich【63】mopedsvisitedacityinanattempttobreakintoanewmarketfindinganagentwashisfirstjob.HewasfortunatetobeintroducedtoAdamFortesqueawellestablishedagentwhois【64】impressedbytheJayalmopedstoputhisassistantEveSorrellontothejobofhelpingPaulinhisproposedexpansionintotheexportmarket. 【65】thisattemptbringsitsownproblemsandPaulhasrealizedthatJayalMotorswillhavetoadaptquicklyifitistobecomeanexpandinginternationalcompany.
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第二篇{{/B}} ?????? ?{{B}}DriventoDistraction{{/B}}??JoeCoyneslidesintothe driver’sseatstarsupthecarandheadstotown.Theemptystretchof interstategiveswaytourbancongestionandCoynehitsthebrakeasa pedestriansuddenlycrossesthestreetinfrontofhim.??Buteven ifhehadn’tstoppedintimethewomanwouldhavebeensafe.Sheisn’treal. Neitheristhetown.AndCoyneisn’treallydriving.Coyneisdemonstratinga computerizeddrivingsimulatorthatishelpingresearchersatOldDominion UniversityODUexaminehowin-vehicleguidancesystemsaffecttheperson behindthewheel.??Theresearcherswanttoknowifsuchsystems whichgiveaudibleorwrittendirectionsaretoodistracting—orwhetherany distractionsareoffsetbythebenefitsdriversgetfromhavinghelpfinding theirwayinunfamiliarlocations.??We’relookingatthe performanceandmentalworkloadofdriverssaidCarylBaldwintheassistant psychologyprofessorleadingtheresearchwhichinvolvesmeasuringdrives’ reactiontimeandbrainactivityastheyrespondtoauditoryandvisual cues.??Theresearchersjustcompletedastudyofthemental workloadinvolvedindrivingthroughdifferentkindsofenvironmentsandheavy vs.lighttraffic.Preliminaryresultsshowthataspeoplegetintomore challengingdrivingsituationstheydon’thaveanyextramentalenergyto respondtosomethingelseintheenvironmentBaldwinsaid.??But thetradeoffscouldbeworthitshesaid.Thenextstepistotestdifferent waysofgivingdriversnavigationalinformationandhowthosemethodschangethe drivers’mentalworkload.??Isitbestiftheyseeapicture’ thatshowstheirpositionamapkindofdisplay?Baldwinsaid.Isitbestif theyhearit???Navigationalsystemsnowonthemarketgive point-by-pointdirectionsthatfollowaprescribedroute.They’revery unforgivingBaldwinsaid.Ifyoumissatarntheycanalmostseemtoget angry.??Thatstyleofdirectionsalsocanbefrustratingfor peoplewhoprefermoregeneralinstructions.Butsuchbroaddirectionscan confusedriverswhopreferroutedirectionsBaldwinsaid.? ?Perhapsmanufacturersshouldallowdriverstochoosethestyleof directionstheywantormodifysystemstopresentsomeinformationinaway thatmakessenseforpeoplewhopreferthesurveystyleshesaid.? ?Interestinglyotherresearchhasshownthatabout60percentofmen preferthesurveystylewhile60percentwomenprefertheroutestyle Baldwinsaid.Thisexplainstheclassiclittlethingofwhymendon’tliketo stopandaskfordirectionsandwomendoBaldwin added.Thesixthparagraphmainlystatethattheresearchers__
{{*HTML*}}??阅读下面的短文文中有15处空白每处空白给出了4个选项请根据短文的内容从4个选项中选择1个最佳答案 ????????{{B}}SaveEnergyat Home{{/B}}??OntheaverageAmericanswasteasmuchenergyas two-thirdsoftheworld’spopulationconsumes.That’s{{U}}?1? {{/U}}theresultofdrivinginefficientcarsusinginefficientappliancesand livingandworkinginpoorlyinsulatedbuildings.Thenwhatcanyoudoto improvethe{{U}}?2?{{/U}}???Buyenergy-efficient products.—Buynewappliancesorelectronicsofthehighestenergyefficiency rating.Newenergyefficientmodelsmaycostmoreinitiallybuthavealower operating{{U}}?3?{{/U}}overtheirlifetimes.Themost energy-efficientmodels{{U}}?4?{{/U}}theEnergyStarlabelwhich identifiesproductsthatuse20-40percentlessenergythanstandardnew products.AccordingtotheEPAthetypicalAmericanhouseholdcansaveabout $-400peryearin{{U}}?5?{{/U}}billswithproductsthatcarrythe EnergyStar.??Switchtocompactfluorescentbulbs.—Changethe threebulbsyouuse{{U}}?6?{{/U}}inyourhousetocompact fluorescents.Eachcompactfluorescentbulbwillkeephalfatonofcarbon dioxideoutoftheairoveritslifetime.{{U}}?7?{{/U}}compact fluorescentbulbslasttentimesaslongandcansave$-30peryearin electricitycosts.??Setheatingandcoolingtemperatures correctly.—Checkthermostatsinyourhometomakesuretheyare{{U}}?8 ?{{/U}}atalevelthatdoesn’twasteenergy.Getanelectronicthermostat thatwillallowyourfurnacetoheatthehousetoalowertemperaturewhen you’resleepingandretumittoamore{{U}}?9?{{/U}}temperaturebefore youwakeup.??Turnoffthelights.—{{U}}?10? {{/U}}lightsandotherelectricalappliancessuchastelevisionsandradioswhen you’renotusingthem.Installautomatictimersforlightsthatpeopleinyour housefrequentlyforgettoturnthemoffwhen{{U}}?11?{{/U}}a room.??Chooserenewableenergy.—Manyconsumerscannowchoose theirenergysupplier.Ifyouhaveachoicechooseanelectricutilitythat usesrenewablepower{{U}}?12?{{/U}}suchassolarwateror wind.??LetthesunshineIn.—Thecheapestandmost energy—efficientlightandheatsourceisoftenrightoutsideyourwindows. On{{U}}?13?{{/U}}daysopenblindstoletthesunlightyourhome forfree.Alsorememberthat{{U}}?14?{{/U}}enteringaroomequals passivesolarheating.Evenoncoldwinterdayssunstreamingintoaroomcan raisethetemperaturebyseveral{{U}}?15?{{/U}}.? ?dioxiden.二氧化物??insulateadj.隔热??thermostat n.温度自动调节??ratingn.等级级别??timern.定时器? ?fluorescentadj.荧光的??blindn.百叶
ProblemsthatManufacturersFace Manufacturerswhowishtoexporttheirgoodstoothercountries【51】manypracticalproblems. Firstlythereisthequestionofevaluatingthemarketand【52】wheretheproduct【53】well.This【54】examiningrivalproductstosee【55】thesealreadyfillthedemandornotandconsideringiftheproposedsellingpricewillbecompetitive.【56】istofindsomeoneinthechosenmarket【57】willbuytheproduct.Thebuyercouldbeawholesalerwhowill【58】selltheproducttoshopsandstoresorsomeonewitharetailoutletof【59】own.Finallythere’’s【60】wholequestionofarrangingthedetailsofthedealsuchasfinancetransportationstorage.【61】amanufacturerknowstheexportmarketverywellindeedthebestanswertoalltheseproblemsisundoubtedlytofindagoodagentwhocanmakethewholeprojectviable.Anagentwillprovideinformationintroductionsandcontactsandinreturnheorshewillgetan【62】percentageformthemanufacturer. WhenPaulOsmantheSalesManagerofJayalMotorswhich【63】mopedsvisitedacityinanattempttobreakintoanewmarketfindinganagentwashisfirstjob.HewasfortunatetobeintroducedtoAdamFortesqueawellestablishedagentwhois【64】impressedbytheJayalmopedstoputhisassistantEveSorrellontothejobofhelpingPaulinhisproposedexpansionintotheexportmarket. 【65】thisattemptbringsitsownproblemsandPaulhasrealizedthatJayalMotorswillhavetoadaptquicklyifitistobecomeanexpandinginternationalcompany.
Ididn't{{U}}immediately{{/U}}realizethathowseriousthesituationwas.
{{*HTML*}}??阅读下成这篇短文短文后列出了7个句子请根据短文的内容对每个句子作出判断 ??????? ??{{B}}BeesandColor{{/B}}??Onourtableinthegarden weputabluecardandallaroundthisbluecardweputanumberofdifferent graycards.Thesegraycardsareofallpossibleshadesofgraylandinclude whiteandblack.Oneachcardawatch-glassisplaced.Thewatch-glassonthe bluecardhassomesyrup果汁init;alltheothersareempty.Afterashort timebeesfindthesyrupandtheycomeforitagainandagain.Thenaftersome hourswetakeawaythewatch-glassofsyrupwhichwasonthebluecardandput anemptyoneinitsplace.??Nowwhatdothebeesdo?Theystill gostraighttothebluecardalthoughthereisnosyrupthem.Theydonotgoto anyofthegraycardsinspiteofthefactthatoneofthegraycardsisof exacfiythesamebrightnessasthebluecard.Thusthebeesdonotmistakeany shadeofgrayforblue.Inhiswaywehaveprovedthattheydoreallyseeblue asacolor.??Wecanfindoutinjustthesamewaywhatother colorsbeescansee.Itturnsoutthatbeescanseevariouscolorsbutthese insectsdifferfromusasregardstheircolor-senseintwoveryinteresting ways.Supposewetrainbeestocometoaredcardandhavingdonesoweput theredcardonthetableinthegardenamongthesetofdifferentgraycards. Thistimewefindthatthebeesmistakeredfordarkgrayorblack.Theycannot distinguishbetweenthem.Thismeansthatredisnotacoloratallforbees; forthemitisjustdarkgrayorblack.??Thatisonestrange fact;hereisanother.Arainbowisredononeedgevioletontheother. Outsidethevioletoftherainbowthereisanothercolorwhichwecannotseeat all.Thiscolorbeyondthevioletinvisibletousiscalledtheultra-violet. Althoughitisinvisibleweknowthattheultra-violetistherebecauseit affectsaphotographicplate.Nowalthoughweareunabletoseeultra-violet lightbeescandoso;forthemultra-violetisacolor.Thusbeesseeacolor whichwecannotevenimagine.Thishasbeenfoundoutbytrainingbeestocome forsyruptovariouspartsofaspectrumorartificialrainbowthrownbya prismonatableinadarkroom.Insuchanexperimenttheinsectscanbetaught toflytotheultra-violetwhichforusisjust darkness.Wecanconcludefromthepassagethatbeesrecognizecolorsinthesamewayashumanbeings.
{{*HTML*}}? ?下面有3篇短文每篇短文后有5道题每道题后面有4个选项请仔细阅读短文并根据短文回答其后面的问题从4个选项中选择1个最佳答案{{B}}第一篇{{/B}} ??????? ??{{B}}AttitudestoAIDSNow{{/B}}??Mostpeoplesaythat theUSAismakingprogressinfightingAIDS.Buttheydon’tknowthere’snocure andstronglydisagreethattheAIDSepidemicisover.??The findingsreleasedThursdaybytheKaiserFamilyFoundationreassureactivists whohaveworriedthatpublicconcernaboutAIDSmightdisappearinlightof recentnewsaboutadvancesintreatmentanddeclinesindeaths.? ?Whilepeopleareveryoptimisticabouttheadvancesthey’restill realisticaboutthefactthatthereisnocuresaysSophiaChangdirectorof HIVprogramsatthefoundation.??TheKaisersurveylikearecent USAtodayGallupPolldoesfindthatthenumberofpeoplerankingAIDSasthe country’stophealthproblemhasfallen.IntheKaiserpoll38%sayit’sthe topconcerndownfrom44%ina1996poll;intheGallupPoll29%sayAIDS isN0.1downfromI41%in1992and67%in1987.??Otherfindings fromKaiserwhichpolledmorethan1200adultsinSeptemberandOctoberand askedadditionalquestionsofanother1000adultsinNovember..? ?52%saythecountryismakingprogressagainstAIDS;upfrom32%in 1995.??51%saythegovernmentspendstoolittleon AIDS.??86%correctlysayAIDSdrugscannowlengthenlives:an equalnumbercorrectlysaythatthedrugsarenotcures.??67% incorrectlysaythatAIDSdeathsincreasedorstayedthesameinthepastyear; 24%knowdeathsfell.??DanielZingaledirectorofAIDSAction CouncilsaysI’mencouragedthattheAmericanpeoplearegettingthemessage thattheAIDSepidemicisn’tover.Ihopethedecision-makersinWashingtonare gettingthesamemessage...Wehaveseensignsofcomplacency.? ?Epidemicn.流行病;流行病的流行传播??Reassure vt.向.......一再保证安慰使放心使消除疑虑.??Polln.民意测验民意测验结果? ?Complacencyn.自满情绪沾沾自喜;满足满意Thewordmessageinthelastparagraphmeans
ProblemsthatManufacturersFace Manufacturerswhowishtoexporttheirgoodstoothercountries【51】manypracticalproblems. Firstlythereisthequestionofevaluatingthemarketand【52】wheretheproduct【53】well.This【54】examiningrivalproductstosee【55】thesealreadyfillthedemandornotandconsideringiftheproposedsellingpricewillbecompetitive.【56】istofindsomeoneinthechosenmarket【57】willbuytheproduct.Thebuyercouldbeawholesalerwhowill【58】selltheproducttoshopsandstoresorsomeonewitharetailoutletof【59】own.Finallythere’’s【60】wholequestionofarrangingthedetailsofthedealsuchasfinancetransportationstorage.【61】amanufacturerknowstheexportmarketverywellindeedthebestanswertoalltheseproblemsisundoubtedlytofindagoodagentwhocanmakethewholeprojectviable.Anagentwillprovideinformationintroductionsandcontactsandinreturnheorshewillgetan【62】percentageformthemanufacturer. WhenPaulOsmantheSalesManagerofJayalMotorswhich【63】mopedsvisitedacityinanattempttobreakintoanewmarketfindinganagentwashisfirstjob.HewasfortunatetobeintroducedtoAdamFortesqueawellestablishedagentwhois【64】impressedbytheJayalmopedstoputhisassistantEveSorrellontothejobofhelpingPaulinhisproposedexpansionintotheexportmarket. 【65】thisattemptbringsitsownproblemsandPaulhasrealizedthatJayalMotorswillhavetoadaptquicklyifitistobecomeanexpandinginternationalcompany.
I{{U}}reserve{{/U}}thefighttodisagree.
{{*HTML*}}??阅读下成这篇短文短文后列出了7个句子请根据短文的内容对每个句子作出判断 ??????? ??{{B}}BeesandColor{{/B}}??Onourtableinthegarden weputabluecardandallaroundthisbluecardweputanumberofdifferent graycards.Thesegraycardsareofallpossibleshadesofgraylandinclude whiteandblack.Oneachcardawatch-glassisplaced.Thewatch-glassonthe bluecardhassomesyrup果汁init;alltheothersareempty.Afterashort timebeesfindthesyrupandtheycomeforitagainandagain.Thenaftersome hourswetakeawaythewatch-glassofsyrupwhichwasonthebluecardandput anemptyoneinitsplace.??Nowwhatdothebeesdo?Theystill gostraighttothebluecardalthoughthereisnosyrupthem.Theydonotgoto anyofthegraycardsinspiteofthefactthatoneofthegraycardsisof exacfiythesamebrightnessasthebluecard.Thusthebeesdonotmistakeany shadeofgrayforblue.Inhiswaywehaveprovedthattheydoreallyseeblue asacolor.??Wecanfindoutinjustthesamewaywhatother colorsbeescansee.Itturnsoutthatbeescanseevariouscolorsbutthese insectsdifferfromusasregardstheircolor-senseintwoveryinteresting ways.Supposewetrainbeestocometoaredcardandhavingdonesoweput theredcardonthetableinthegardenamongthesetofdifferentgraycards. Thistimewefindthatthebeesmistakeredfordarkgrayorblack.Theycannot distinguishbetweenthem.Thismeansthatredisnotacoloratallforbees; forthemitisjustdarkgrayorblack.??Thatisonestrange fact;hereisanother.Arainbowisredononeedgevioletontheother. Outsidethevioletoftherainbowthereisanothercolorwhichwecannotseeat all.Thiscolorbeyondthevioletinvisibletousiscalledtheultra-violet. Althoughitisinvisibleweknowthattheultra-violetistherebecauseit affectsaphotographicplate.Nowalthoughweareunabletoseeultra-violet lightbeescandoso;forthemultra-violetisacolor.Thusbeesseeacolor whichwecannotevenimagine.Thishasbeenfoundoutbytrainingbeestocome forsyruptovariouspartsofaspectrumorartificialrainbowthrownbya prismonatableinadarkroom.Insuchanexperimenttheinsectscanbetaught toflytotheultra-violetwhichforusisjust darkness.Anartificialrainbowwascreatedfortheexperimenttoseewhetherbeescanrecognizetheultra-violetasacolor.
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第三篇{{/B}} ??????? {{B}}EarlyorLaterDayCare{{/B}}??TheBritishpsychoanalystJohn Bowlbymaintainsthatseparationfromtheparentsduringthesensitive attachmentperiodfrombirthtothreemayscarachild’spersonalityand predisposetoemotionalproblemsinlaterlife.Somepeoplehavedrawnthe conclusionfromBowlby’sworkthatchildrenshouldnotbesubjectedtodaycare beforetheageofthreebecauseoftheparentalseparationitentailsandmany peopledobelievethis.Buttherearealsoargumentsagainstsuchastrong conclusion.??Firstlyanthropologistspointoutthatthe insulatedloveaffairbetweenchildrenandparentsfoundinmodemsocieties doesnotusuallyexistintraditionalsocieties.Forexampleinsometribal societiessuchastheNgonithefatherandmotherofachilddidnotrear theirinfantalone--farfromit.Secondlycommonsensetellsusthatdaycare wouldnotbesowidespreadtodayifparentscare-takersfoundchildrenhad problemswithit.Statisticalstudiesofthiskindhavenotyetbeencardedout andeveniftheyweretheresultswouldbecertaintobecomplicatedand controversial.Thirdlyinthelastdecadetherehavebeenanumberofcareful Americanstudiesofchildrenindaycareandtheyhaveuniformlyreportedthat daycarehadaneutralorslightlypositiveeffectonchildren’sdevelopment. Butteststhathavehadtobeusedtomeasurethisdevelopmentarenotwidely enoughacceptedtosettletheissue.??ButBowlby’sanalysis raisesthepossibilitythatearlydaycarehasdelayedeffects.Thepossibility thatsuchcaremightleadtosaymorementalillnessorcrime15or20years latercanonlybeexploredbytheuseofstatistics.Whateverthelong-term effectsparentssometimesfindtheimmediateeffectsdifficulttodealwith. Childrenunderthreearelikelytoprotestatleavingtheirparentsandshow unhappiness.Attheageofthreeorthreeandahalfalmostallchildrenfind thetransitiontonurseryeasyandthisisundoubtedlywhymoreandmore parentsmakeuseofchildcareatthistime.Thematterthenisfarfrom clear-cutthoughexperienceandavailableevidenceindicatethatearlycareis reasonableforinfants.Itissuggestedthatmodemsocietiesdifferfromtraditionalsocietiesinthat______
{{*HTML*}}??阅读下面这篇短文短文后有2项测试任务11~4题要求从所给的6个选项中为第 2~5段每段选择1个正确的小标题2第5~8题要求从所给的6个选项中选择4个正确的选项分别完成每个句子 ????????{{B}}ThePaper Chase{{/B}}??Runningahouseisalotlikerunningabusiness saysStephanieDentonaprofessionalorganizerbasedinCincinnatiOhiowho specializesinbothresidentialandcommercialpaperworkandrecordkeeping.To getasuccessfulgriponorganizingdocumentsbillsandothermaterials Dentonsuggeststhefollowingtips.??Createaspaceinwhichyou canalwaysdoyourpaperwork.Thisisperhapsthemostimportantelementofa successfulsystem.Ifyoucan’tdevoteanentiredesktothetaskatleast investinarollingfilecarttostoreactivepaperworkandatwo-drawerfile cabinetforfamilyrecords.Storetherollingfilecartwhereveritismost convenientandcomfortabletodoyourworkwhetherthatisthekitchenoffice orfamilyroom.??Whenindoubtthrowitout.Thefirststepto implementingaworkablefilingsystemistoeliminatepaperyoudon’tusedon’t needorthatyoucouldeasilyaccessagainelsewhere.Throwoutduplicate statementsoldcatalogsandallofthecouponsmailingsorofferingsyou’ll neverhaveanopportunitytouseorevenread.??Setasidetwo daysamonthtopaybills.Ifamonthlyduedatedoesn’tfitintoyourcycle callupthecreditorandsuggestamoreconvenientdate.Keeptwomanilafolders atthefrontofyoursystemforcurrentbills—onetocorrespondwitheach bill-payingday—andfileallincomingbills.Keepalistinthefrontofeach folderofwhatneedstobepaidincasetheinvoiceneverarrivesorgets misplaced.??Thinkofyourfilingsystemnotasarigidtoolbut asalivingbreathingsystemthatcanaccommodateyourchangingneeds.Agood filingsystemisbothmentallyandphysicallyflexible.Everyone’sneedsare differentsaysDentonbutwhendevisingafillingsystemaskyourself:Where wouldIlookforthis?Createmainheadingsforyourfilingsystemsuchas InvestmentsTaxesChildrenandsoforthandfileindividualfoldersunder themainheadings.Neveroverstuffyourfiles.Couponsshouldbethrownawaybecause______
Successfulleaders{{U}}dominate{{/U}}eventsratherthanreacttothem.
Theexamplewas{{U}}fundamental{{/U}}totheargument.
{{*HTML*}}? ?阅读下面的短文文章中有5处空白文章后有6组文字请根据文章的内容选择5组文字将其分别放回文章原有位置以恢复文章原貌 ??????{{B}}Lookingtothe Future{{/B}}??Whenamagazineforhigh-schoolstudentsaskedits readerswhatlifewouldbelikeintwentyyearstheysaid:Machineswouldbe runbysolarpower.Buildingswouldrotatesotheycouldfollowthesuntotake maximumadvantageofitslightandheat.Wallswouldradiatelightandchange colorwiththepushofabutton.Foodwouldbereplacedbypills.{{U}}?1 ?{{/U}}.Carswouldhaveradar.Doesthissoundliketheyear2000?{{U}}? 2?{{/U}}.??Thefutureismuchtooimportanttosimplyguess aboutthewaythehighschoolstudentsdidsoexpertsareregularlyaskedto predictaccurately.{{U}}?3?{{/U}}.Butcanthey?Oneexperton citieswrote:citiesofthefuturewouldnotbecrowdedbutwouldhavespace forfarmsandfields.Peoplewouldtraveltoworkinairbuses.large all-weatherhelicopterscarryingupto200passengers.Whenapersonleftthe airbusstationhecoulddriveacoin-operatedcarequippedwithradar.Theradar equipmentofcarswouldmaketrafficaccidentsalmostunheardof’.Doesthat soundfamiliar?Iftheexperthadbeenaccurateitwouldbecausehewaswriting in1957.HissubjectwasTheCityof1982.??Ifthe professionalssometimessoundlikehigh-schoolstudentsit’sprobablybecause futurestudyisstillanewfield.Buteconomicforecastingorpredictingwhat theeconomywilldohasbeenaroundforalongtime.Itshouldbeaccurateand generallyitis.Buttherehavebeensomebigmistakesinthisfieldtoo.{{U}} ?4?{{/U}}.InOctoberofthatyearthestockmarkethaditsworst losseseverminingthousandsofinvestorswhohadputtheirfaithinfinancial foreseers.??{{U}}?5?{{/U}}In1957H.$.Randofthe RandCorporationwasaskedabouttheyear2000Onlyonethingiscertainhe answered.Childrenwillhavereachedtheageof43.A.Bycarefully studyingthepresentskilledbusinessmenscientistsandpoliticiansare supposedlyabletofigureoutinadvancewhatwillhappen.B.Schoolwouldbe taughtbyelectricalimpulsewhilewesleep.C.Oneforecasterknewthat predictionsaboutthefuturewouldalwaysbesubjecttosignificant errors.D.Inearly1929mostforecasterssawanexcellentfutureforthe stockmarket.E.Everyonemaylooktothefutureforitisalways promising.EActuallythearticlewaswrittenin1958andthequestionwas whatwilllifebelikein19787
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