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Intheirproductionschoreographersofmodemdancehaveintroducedhumorprotestedsocialinjusticeand{{U}}probed{{/U}}psychologicalproblems.
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第二篇{{/B}} ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ????????{{B}}Forecasting Methods{{/B}}??Thereareseveraldifferentmethodsthatcanbeused tocreateaforecast.Themethodaforecasterchoosesdependsuponthe experienceoftheforecastertheamountofinformationavailabletothe forecasterthelevelofdifficultythattheforecastsituationpresentsand thedegreeofaccuracyorconfidenceneededintheforecast.??The firstofthesemethodsisthepersistencemethod;thesimplestwayofproducing aforecast.Thepersistencemethodassumesthattheconditionsatthetimeof theforecastwillnotchange.Forexampleifitissunnyand87degreetoday thepersistencemethodpredictsthatitwillbesunnyand87degreetomorrow.If twoinchesofrainfelltodaythepersistencemethodwouldpredicttwoinches ofrainfortomorrow.Howeverifweatherconditionschangesignificantlyfrom daytodaythepersistencemethodusuallybreaksdownandisnotthebest forecastingmethodtouse.??Thetrendsmethodinvolves determiningthespeedanddirectionofmovementforfrontshighandlow pressurecentersandareasofcloudsandprecipitation.Usingthisinformation theforecastercanpredictwhereheorsheexpectsthosefeaturestobeatsome futuretime.Forexampleifastormsystemis1000mileswestofyourlocation andmovingtotheeastat250milesperdayusingthetrendsmethodyouwould predictittoarriveinyourareain4days.Thetrendsmethodworkswellwhen systemscontinuetomoveatthesamespeedinthesamedirectionforalong periodoftime.Iftheyslowdownspeedupchangeintensityorchange directionthetrendsforecastwillprobablynotworkaswell.? ?Theclimatologymethodisanothersimplewayofproducingaforecast.This methodinvolvesaveragingweatherstatisticsaccumulatedovermanyyearstomake theforecast.Forexampleifyouwereusingtheclimatologymethodtopredict theweatherforNewYorkCityonJuly4thyouwouldgothroughalltheweather datathathasbeenrecordedforeveryJuly4thandtakeanaverage.The climatologymethodonlyworkswellwhentheweatherpatternissimilartothat expectedforthechosentimeofyear.Ifthepatternisquiteunusualforthe giventimeofyeartheclimatologymethodwilloftenfail.??The analogmethodisaslightlymorecomplicatedmethodofproducingaforecast.It involvesexaminingtoday’sforecastscenarioandrememberingadayinthepast whentheweatherscenariolookedverysimilarananalog.Theforecasterwould predictthattheweatherinthisforecastwillbehavethesameasitdidinthe past.Theanalogmethodisdifficulttousebecauseitisvirtuallyimpossible tofindapredictanalog.Variousweatherfeaturesrarelyalignthemselvesin thesamelocationstheywereintheprevioustime.Evensmalldifferences betweenthecurrenttimeandtheanalogcanleadtoverydifferent results.WhatfactorisNOTmentionedinchoosingaforecastingmethod?
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第二篇{{/B}} ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ????????{{B}}Forecasting Methods{{/B}}??Thereareseveraldifferentmethodsthatcanbeused tocreateaforecast.Themethodaforecasterchoosesdependsuponthe experienceoftheforecastertheamountofinformationavailabletothe forecasterthelevelofdifficultythattheforecastsituationpresentsand thedegreeofaccuracyorconfidenceneededintheforecast.??The firstofthesemethodsisthepersistencemethod;thesimplestwayofproducing aforecast.Thepersistencemethodassumesthattheconditionsatthetimeof theforecastwillnotchange.Forexampleifitissunnyand87degreetoday thepersistencemethodpredictsthatitwillbesunnyand87degreetomorrow.If twoinchesofrainfelltodaythepersistencemethodwouldpredicttwoinches ofrainfortomorrow.Howeverifweatherconditionschangesignificantlyfrom daytodaythepersistencemethodusuallybreaksdownandisnotthebest forecastingmethodtouse.??Thetrendsmethodinvolves determiningthespeedanddirectionofmovementforfrontshighandlow pressurecentersandareasofcloudsandprecipitation.Usingthisinformation theforecastercanpredictwhereheorsheexpectsthosefeaturestobeatsome futuretime.Forexampleifastormsystemis1000mileswestofyourlocation andmovingtotheeastat250milesperdayusingthetrendsmethodyouwould predictittoarriveinyourareain4days.Thetrendsmethodworkswellwhen systemscontinuetomoveatthesamespeedinthesamedirectionforalong periodoftime.Iftheyslowdownspeedupchangeintensityorchange directionthetrendsforecastwillprobablynotworkaswell.? ?Theclimatologymethodisanothersimplewayofproducingaforecast.This methodinvolvesaveragingweatherstatisticsaccumulatedovermanyyearstomake theforecast.Forexampleifyouwereusingtheclimatologymethodtopredict theweatherforNewYorkCityonJuly4thyouwouldgothroughalltheweather datathathasbeenrecordedforeveryJuly4thandtakeanaverage.The climatologymethodonlyworkswellwhentheweatherpatternissimilartothat expectedforthechosentimeofyear.Ifthepatternisquiteunusualforthe giventimeofyeartheclimatologymethodwilloftenfail.??The analogmethodisaslightlymorecomplicatedmethodofproducingaforecast.It involvesexaminingtoday’sforecastscenarioandrememberingadayinthepast whentheweatherscenariolookedverysimilarananalog.Theforecasterwould predictthattheweatherinthisforecastwillbehavethesameasitdidinthe past.Theanalogmethodisdifficulttousebecauseitisvirtuallyimpossible tofindapredictanalog.Variousweatherfeaturesrarelyalignthemselvesin thesamelocationstheywereintheprevioustime.Evensmalldifferences betweenthecurrenttimeandtheanalogcanleadtoverydifferent results.Thelimitationofthetrendsmethodisthesameasthepersistencemethodinthat
{{*HTML*}}??下面的短文后2项测试任务 1第23～26题要求从所给的6个选项中为第2～5段第段选择1个最佳的小标题2第27～30题要求所给的6个选项中选择6个选项为每个句子确定1个最佳选项 ?????????? ??????????? ??????????? ???{{B}}TransportandTrade{{/B}}1?Transportisoneof theaidstotrade.Bymovinggoodsfromplaceswheretheyareplentifulto placeswheretheyarescarcetransportaddstotheirvalue.Themoreeasily goodscanbebroughtoverthedistancethatseparatesproducerandconsumerthe betterfortrade.Whentherewerenorailwaysnogoodroadsnocanalsand onlysmallsailingshipstradewasonasmallscale.2?Thegreat advancesmadeintransportduringthelasttwohundredyearswereaccompaniedby abigincreaseintrade.Biggerandfastershipsenabledatradeinmeatto developbetweenBritainandNewZealandforinstance.Quickertransportmakes possiblemass-productionandbigbusinessdrawingsuppliesfromandselling goodstoallpartsoftheglobe.Bigfactoriescouldnotexistwithout transporttocarrythelargenumberofworkerstheyneedtoandfromtheir homes.Bigcitystorescouldnothavedevelopedunlesscustomerscouldtravel easilyfromthesuburbsandgoodsdeliveredtotheirhomes.Bigcitiescouldnot surviveunlessfoodcouldbebroughtfromadistance.3?Transportalso preventswaste.Muchofthefishlandedattheportswouldbewastedifitcould notbetakenquicklytoinlandtowns.Transporthasgivenusamuchgreater varietyoffoodsandgoodssincewenolongerhavetoliveonwhatisproduced locally.Foodswhichatonetimecouldbeobtainedonlyduringapartofthe yearcannowbeobtainedallthroughtheyear.Transporthasraisedthestandard ofliving.4?Bymovingfuelrawmaterialsandevenpowerasfor examplethroughelectriccablestransporthasledtotheestablishmentof industriesandtradeinareaswheretheywouldhavebeenimpossiblebefore. Districtsandcountriescanconcentrateonmakingthingswhichtheycando betterandmorecheaplythanothersandcanthenexchangethemwithoneanother. Thecheaperandquickertransportbecomesthelongerthedistanceoverwhich goodscanprofitablybecarried.Countrieswithpoortransporthavealower standardofliving.5?Commercerequiresnotonlythemovingofgoods andpeoplebutalsothecarryingofmessagesandinformation.Meansof communicationliketelephonescablesandradiosendinformationaboutprices suppliesandchangingconditionsindifferentpartsoftheworld.Inthisway advancedcommunicationsystemsalsohelptodeveloptrade.Paragraph3______
Thetowersofasuspensionbridgeserveasarigid{{U}}framework{{/U}}towhichthecablesareattached.
Thedevelopmentofthetransistorandintegratedcircuitsrevolutionizedtheelectronicsindustrybyallowingcomponentstobepackagedmore{{U}}densely{{/U}}.
{{*HTML*}}??下面的短文有5处空白短文后有6个文字其中5个取自短文请根据短文内容将其分别放回原有位置以恢复文章原貌 ?????????? ??????????? ????????{{B}}TheDollarinWorld Markets{{/B}}??AccordingtoaleadingGermanbankertheU.S. dollaristhemostfrequentlydiscussedeconomicphenomenonofourtimes.He adds...thedollar’sexchangerateisatpresentthemostimportantpricein theworldeconomy...{{U}}?46?{{/U}}Thecentralbanksofmany countriesholdhugereservesofdollarsandoverhalfofallworldtradeis pricedintermsofdollars.Anyshiftinthedollar’sexchangeratewillbenefit someandhurtothers.{{U}}?47?{{/U}}.??Thedollar’s exchangeratehasbeentoovolatileandunpredictable.Severalyearsagothe dollarwasrapidlydeclininginvalue.{{U}}?48?{{/U}}Theriseinthe priceofforeigngoodsmadeitpossibleforU.S.businessestoraisetheprice ofcompetinggoodsproducedherethusworseninginflation.Foreignerswhodealt indollarsorwhohelddollarsasreserveswerehurt.PeopleintheUnited Stateswhohadborrowedforeigncurrenciesfoundthattheyhadtopaybackmore thantheyborrowedbecausethedecliningdollarwouldbuyfewerunitsofthe foreignmoney.{{U}}?49?{{/U}}.??Thedollarwentsoaring upwardandthesituationwasreversed.UnitedStatesexportersfoundithardto sellabroadbecauseforeignerswouldhavetopaymoreforU.S.dollars.People intheUnitedStatesnowboughttherelativelycheaperforeigngoodsandU.S. manufacturerscomplainedthattheycouldnotcompete.Joblosseswereoften blamedontheovervalueddollar.Poornationsthathadborroweddollarsfound itdifficulttorepayboththeloansandtheinterestbecausetheyhadtouse moreandmoreoftheirowncurrenciestoobtaindollars.??{{U}} ?50?{{/U}}Wemightevenreturntothegoldstandard.? ?Fixedexchangeratesdidnotworkinthepast.Currencyvaluesshouldbe determinedbymarketconditions.Adropintheexchangevalueofanation’s currencymeansthatitisimportingtoomuchthatitistooinefficientto competeinworldmarketsthatitispermittingahighrateofinflationwhich makesitsgoodstooexpensivethatitisgoingtoodeeplyindebtorthat othershavelostconfidenceinthenation’sstability.Anationshouldbringits exchangeratebackupbyaddressingtheseproblemsnotbyinterferingwiththe moneymarket.A?Thesolutiontothisproblemistoendthesystemof floatingexchangeratesandreturntofixedrates.B?Somepeople suggestthereforethatthedollar’svalueshouldbemoretightly controlled.C?TheUnitedStateslostfaceintheeyesoftherestof theworld.D?Becausethedollaractsasaworldcurrencyitsvalue affectsmanynations.E?ThismadeitdifficultforAmericansto purchaseforeigngoodsandservices.F?Thosewhoborrowedalotof moneyfromabanksufferedmost.
{{*HTML*}}??下面的短文后2项测试任务 1第23～26题要求从所给的6个选项中为第2～5段第段选择1个最佳的小标题2第27～30题要求所给的6个选项中选择6个选项为每个句子确定1个最佳选项 ?????????? ??????????? ??????????? ???{{B}}TransportandTrade{{/B}}1?Transportisoneof theaidstotrade.Bymovinggoodsfromplaceswheretheyareplentifulto placeswheretheyarescarcetransportaddstotheirvalue.Themoreeasily goodscanbebroughtoverthedistancethatseparatesproducerandconsumerthe betterfortrade.Whentherewerenorailwaysnogoodroadsnocanalsand onlysmallsailingshipstradewasonasmallscale.2?Thegreat advancesmadeintransportduringthelasttwohundredyearswereaccompaniedby abigincreaseintrade.Biggerandfastershipsenabledatradeinmeatto developbetweenBritainandNewZealandforinstance.Quickertransportmakes possiblemass-productionandbigbusinessdrawingsuppliesfromandselling goodstoallpartsoftheglobe.Bigfactoriescouldnotexistwithout transporttocarrythelargenumberofworkerstheyneedtoandfromtheir homes.Bigcitystorescouldnothavedevelopedunlesscustomerscouldtravel easilyfromthesuburbsandgoodsdeliveredtotheirhomes.Bigcitiescouldnot surviveunlessfoodcouldbebroughtfromadistance.3?Transportalso preventswaste.Muchofthefishlandedattheportswouldbewastedifitcould notbetakenquicklytoinlandtowns.Transporthasgivenusamuchgreater varietyoffoodsandgoodssincewenolongerhavetoliveonwhatisproduced locally.Foodswhichatonetimecouldbeobtainedonlyduringapartofthe yearcannowbeobtainedallthroughtheyear.Transporthasraisedthestandard ofliving.4?Bymovingfuelrawmaterialsandevenpowerasfor examplethroughelectriccablestransporthasledtotheestablishmentof industriesandtradeinareaswheretheywouldhavebeenimpossiblebefore. Districtsandcountriescanconcentrateonmakingthingswhichtheycando betterandmorecheaplythanothersandcanthenexchangethemwithoneanother. Thecheaperandquickertransportbecomesthelongerthedistanceoverwhich goodscanprofitablybecarried.Countrieswithpoortransporthavealower standardofliving.5?Commercerequiresnotonlythemovingofgoods andpeoplebutalsothecarryingofmessagesandinformation.Meansof communicationliketelephonescablesandradiosendinformationaboutprices suppliesandchangingconditionsindifferentpartsoftheworld.Inthisway advancedcommunicationsystemsalsohelptodeveloptrade.Inthetradeofmodernsocietythetransmissionofinformationplaysasimportantaroleas______.
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第三篇{{/B}} ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ?{{B}}ImportanceofServices{{/B}}??TheUnitedStateshasmoved beyondtheindustrialeconomystagetothepointwhereithasbecometheworld’s firstserviceeconomy.Almostthree-fourthsofthenonfarmlaborforceis employedinserviceindustriesandovertwo-thirdsofthenation’sgross nationalproductisaccountedforbyservices.Alsoservicejobstypicallyhold upbetterduringarecessionthandojobsinindustriesproducingtangible goods.??Duringthe20-yearperiodof1966to1986about36 millionnewjobswerecreatedintheUnitedStates--farmorethaninJapanand WesternEuropecombined.About90percentofthesejobswereinservice industries.Duringthissametimespansome22millionwomenjoinedthelabor force--and97percentofthesewomenwenttoworkintheservicesector.These employmenttrendsareexpectedtocontinueatleastuntiltheyear2000.Forthe period1986-2000theBureauofLaborStatisticspredictsthatover21million newjobswillbecreatedand93percentofthemwillbeinservice industries.??Moreovermostofthisexplosivegrowthinservices employmentisnotinlow-payingjobscontrarytothebeliefsofmany economistsbusinessandlaborleadersandpoliticians.Thesepeoplearguethat manufacturingjobswhichhavebeentheeconomicfoundationofAmerica’smiddle classarevanishing.Theyclaimthatfactoryworkersarebeingreplacedwitha hostoflow-wageearners.Itistreethatmanufacturingjobshavedeclinedwith manyofthemgoingtoforeigncountries.Itisalsotruethattherehasbeen growthinsomelow-payingservicejobs.Yetcooksandcounterpeoplestill representonly1percentoftheU.S.laborforcetoday.Furthermoreformany yearsthefastest-growingoccupationalcategoryhasbeenprofessional technicalandrelatedwork.Thesejobspaywellabovetheaverageandmost areinserviceindustries.??Aboutone-halfofconsumer expendituresareforthepurchaseofservices.Projectionstotheyear2000 indicatethatserviceswillattractanevenlargershareofconsumerspending.A drawbackoftheserviceeconomyboomisthatthepricesofmostserviceshave beengoingupataconsiderablyfasterratethanthepricesofmosttangible products.YouareundoubtedlyawareofthisifyouhavehadyourcarorTVset repairedhadyourshoeshalf-soledorpaidamedicalbillinrecent years.??Whenwesaythatservicesaccountforclosetoone-half ofconsumerexpenditureswestillgrosslyunderstatetheeconomicimportanceof services.Thesefiguresdonotincludethevastamountsspentforbusiness services.Byallindicationsspendingforbusinessserviceshasincreasedeven morerapidlythanspendingforconsumer services.Theimportanceofservicescanbeshown
Theyagreedto{{U}}settle{{/U}}thedisputebypeacefulmeans.
{{*HTML*}}??下面的短文后2项测试任务 1第23～26题要求从所给的6个选项中为第2～5段第段选择1个最佳的小标题2第27～30题要求所给的6个选项中选择6个选项为每个句子确定1个最佳选项 ?????????? ??????????? ??????????? ???{{B}}TransportandTrade{{/B}}1?Transportisoneof theaidstotrade.Bymovinggoodsfromplaceswheretheyareplentifulto placeswheretheyarescarcetransportaddstotheirvalue.Themoreeasily goodscanbebroughtoverthedistancethatseparatesproducerandconsumerthe betterfortrade.Whentherewerenorailwaysnogoodroadsnocanalsand onlysmallsailingshipstradewasonasmallscale.2?Thegreat advancesmadeintransportduringthelasttwohundredyearswereaccompaniedby abigincreaseintrade.Biggerandfastershipsenabledatradeinmeatto developbetweenBritainandNewZealandforinstance.Quickertransportmakes possiblemass-productionandbigbusinessdrawingsuppliesfromandselling goodstoallpartsoftheglobe.Bigfactoriescouldnotexistwithout transporttocarrythelargenumberofworkerstheyneedtoandfromtheir homes.Bigcitystorescouldnothavedevelopedunlesscustomerscouldtravel easilyfromthesuburbsandgoodsdeliveredtotheirhomes.Bigcitiescouldnot surviveunlessfoodcouldbebroughtfromadistance.3?Transportalso preventswaste.Muchofthefishlandedattheportswouldbewastedifitcould notbetakenquicklytoinlandtowns.Transporthasgivenusamuchgreater varietyoffoodsandgoodssincewenolongerhavetoliveonwhatisproduced locally.Foodswhichatonetimecouldbeobtainedonlyduringapartofthe yearcannowbeobtainedallthroughtheyear.Transporthasraisedthestandard ofliving.4?Bymovingfuelrawmaterialsandevenpowerasfor examplethroughelectriccablestransporthasledtotheestablishmentof industriesandtradeinareaswheretheywouldhavebeenimpossiblebefore. Districtsandcountriescanconcentrateonmakingthingswhichtheycando betterandmorecheaplythanothersandcanthenexchangethemwithoneanother. Thecheaperandquickertransportbecomesthelongerthedistanceoverwhich goodscanprofitablybecarried.Countrieswithpoortransporthavealower standardofliving.5?Commercerequiresnotonlythemovingofgoods andpeoplebutalsothecarryingofmessagesandinformation.Meansof communicationliketelephonescablesandradiosendinformationaboutprices suppliesandchangingconditionsindifferentpartsoftheworld.Inthisway advancedcommunicationsystemsalsohelptodeveloptrade.Paragraph5______
{{*HTML*}}? ?阅读下面这篇短文短文后列出了7个句子请根据短文的内容对每个句子作出判断如果该句提供的是正确信息请选择A项如果该句提供的是错误信息请选择B项如果该句信息文章中没有提及请选择C项 ??????? ??????????? ?????????{{B}}TheFirst SettlementinNorthAmerica{{/B}}??Itisverydifficulttosayjust whencolonizationbegan.ThefirsthundredyearsafterChristopherColumbus’s journeyofdiscoveryin1492didnotproduceanysettlementontheNorthAmerica continentbutrathersomeSpanishtradingpostsfurthersouthagreatinterest ingoldandadventureandsomecolorfulcrimesinwhichtheEnglishhadtheir part.JohnCabotoriginallyfromGenoabutacitizenofVenicewas establishedasatraderinBristolEnglandwhenhemadeajourneyin1497.But hisshiptheMatthewwithitscrewofeighteendidnomorethanseeanisland probablyofftheNewEnglandcoastandreturnhome.Heandhissonmade furthervoyagesacrossthenorthAtlanticwhichenabledtheEnglishcrownto claimalegaltitletoNorthAmerica.Butforalongtimeafterwardsthe Europeans’interestinAmericawasmainlyconfinedtotheSpanishactivities furthersouth.??Thefirstbeginningofpermanentsettlementin NorthAmericawerenearlyahundredyearsafterColumbus’sfirstvoyage.The EnglishmanSirWalterRaleighclaimedthewholeofNorthAmericaforEngland callingitVirginia.In1585hesentasmallgroupofpeoplewholandedin RoanokeIslandbuttheystayedonlyforayearandthenwentbacktoEngland withanotherexpeditionledbyDrakein1587.Asecondgroupwholandedin 1587hadalldisappearedwhenafurtherexpeditionarrivedin1590.? ?ThefirstpermanentsettlementinNorthAmericawasin1607.English capitalistsfoundedtwoVirginiacompaniesasouthernonebasedinLondonanda northernonebasedinBristol.ItwasdecidedtogivethenameNewEnglandto thenorthernarea.ThefirstsettlersinVirginiawerelittlemorethanwage slavestothecompany.Allweremenandtheexperimentwasnotverysuccessful. Manydied.Thosewhosurvivedlivedinmiserableconditions.By1619thecolony hadonlyathousandpeople.WithJohnCabot’sarrivalatanislandofftheNewEnglandcoastin1497theBritishCrownclaimedtobethelegalownerofNorthAmerica.
{{*HTML*}}? ?阅读下面这篇短文短文后列出了7个句子请根据短文的内容对每个句子作出判断如果该句提供的是正确信息请选择A项如果该句提供的是错误信息请选择B项如果该句信息文章中没有提及请选择C项 ??????? ??????????? ?????????{{B}}TheFirst SettlementinNorthAmerica{{/B}}??Itisverydifficulttosayjust whencolonizationbegan.ThefirsthundredyearsafterChristopherColumbus’s journeyofdiscoveryin1492didnotproduceanysettlementontheNorthAmerica continentbutrathersomeSpanishtradingpostsfurthersouthagreatinterest ingoldandadventureandsomecolorfulcrimesinwhichtheEnglishhadtheir part.JohnCabotoriginallyfromGenoabutacitizenofVenicewas establishedasatraderinBristolEnglandwhenhemadeajourneyin1497.But hisshiptheMatthewwithitscrewofeighteendidnomorethanseeanisland probablyofftheNewEnglandcoastandreturnhome.Heandhissonmade furthervoyagesacrossthenorthAtlanticwhichenabledtheEnglishcrownto claimalegaltitletoNorthAmerica.Butforalongtimeafterwardsthe Europeans’interestinAmericawasmainlyconfinedtotheSpanishactivities furthersouth.??Thefirstbeginningofpermanentsettlementin NorthAmericawerenearlyahundredyearsafterColumbus’sfirstvoyage.The EnglishmanSirWalterRaleighclaimedthewholeofNorthAmericaforEngland callingitVirginia.In1585hesentasmallgroupofpeoplewholandedin RoanokeIslandbuttheystayedonlyforayearandthenwentbacktoEngland withanotherexpeditionledbyDrakein1587.Asecondgroupwholandedin 1587hadalldisappearedwhenafurtherexpeditionarrivedin1590.? ?ThefirstpermanentsettlementinNorthAmericawasin1607.English capitalistsfoundedtwoVirginiacompaniesasouthernonebasedinLondonanda northernonebasedinBristol.ItwasdecidedtogivethenameNewEnglandto thenorthernarea.ThefirstsettlersinVirginiawerelittlemorethanwage slavestothecompany.Allweremenandtheexperimentwasnotverysuccessful. Manydied.Thosewhosurvivedlivedinmiserableconditions.By1619thecolony hadonlyathousandpeople.ThenameNewEnglandwasgiventothenorthernareaofNorthAmericabythebossofoneofthetwoVirginiacompanies.
TheattackonFortSumternearCharleston{{U}}provoked{{/U}}asharpresponsefromtheNorthwhichledtotheAmericanCivilWar.
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Manyeconomistshavegivenintothefatal{{U}}lure{{/U}}ofmathematics.
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第三篇{{/B}} ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ?{{B}}ImportanceofServices{{/B}}??TheUnitedStateshasmoved beyondtheindustrialeconomystagetothepointwhereithasbecometheworld’s firstserviceeconomy.Almostthree-fourthsofthenonfarmlaborforceis employedinserviceindustriesandovertwo-thirdsofthenation’sgross nationalproductisaccountedforbyservices.Alsoservicejobstypicallyhold upbetterduringarecessionthandojobsinindustriesproducingtangible goods.??Duringthe20-yearperiodof1966to1986about36 millionnewjobswerecreatedintheUnitedStates--farmorethaninJapanand WesternEuropecombined.About90percentofthesejobswereinservice industries.Duringthissametimespansome22millionwomenjoinedthelabor force--and97percentofthesewomenwenttoworkintheservicesector.These employmenttrendsareexpectedtocontinueatleastuntiltheyear2000.Forthe period1986-2000theBureauofLaborStatisticspredictsthatover21million newjobswillbecreatedand93percentofthemwillbeinservice industries.??Moreovermostofthisexplosivegrowthinservices employmentisnotinlow-payingjobscontrarytothebeliefsofmany economistsbusinessandlaborleadersandpoliticians.Thesepeoplearguethat manufacturingjobswhichhavebeentheeconomicfoundationofAmerica’smiddle classarevanishing.Theyclaimthatfactoryworkersarebeingreplacedwitha hostoflow-wageearners.Itistreethatmanufacturingjobshavedeclinedwith manyofthemgoingtoforeigncountries.Itisalsotruethattherehasbeen growthinsomelow-payingservicejobs.Yetcooksandcounterpeoplestill representonly1percentoftheU.S.laborforcetoday.Furthermoreformany yearsthefastest-growingoccupationalcategoryhasbeenprofessional technicalandrelatedwork.Thesejobspaywellabovetheaverageandmost areinserviceindustries.??Aboutone-halfofconsumer expendituresareforthepurchaseofservices.Projectionstotheyear2000 indicatethatserviceswillattractanevenlargershareofconsumerspending.A drawbackoftheserviceeconomyboomisthatthepricesofmostserviceshave beengoingupataconsiderablyfasterratethanthepricesofmosttangible products.YouareundoubtedlyawareofthisifyouhavehadyourcarorTVset repairedhadyourshoeshalf-soledorpaidamedicalbillinrecent years.??Whenwesaythatservicesaccountforclosetoone-half ofconsumerexpenditureswestillgrosslyunderstatetheeconomicimportanceof services.Thesefiguresdonotincludethevastamountsspentforbusiness services.Byallindicationsspendingforbusinessserviceshasincreasedeven morerapidlythanspendingforconsumer services.Between1966andt986theUnitedStatescreatedabout
{{*HTML*}}??下面的短文后2项测试任务 1第23～26题要求从所给的6个选项中为第2～5段第段选择1个最佳的小标题2第27～30题要求所给的6个选项中选择6个选项为每个句子确定1个最佳选项 ?????????? ??????????? ??????????? ???{{B}}TransportandTrade{{/B}}1?Transportisoneof theaidstotrade.Bymovinggoodsfromplaceswheretheyareplentifulto placeswheretheyarescarcetransportaddstotheirvalue.Themoreeasily goodscanbebroughtoverthedistancethatseparatesproducerandconsumerthe betterfortrade.Whentherewerenorailwaysnogoodroadsnocanalsand onlysmallsailingshipstradewasonasmallscale.2?Thegreat advancesmadeintransportduringthelasttwohundredyearswereaccompaniedby abigincreaseintrade.Biggerandfastershipsenabledatradeinmeatto developbetweenBritainandNewZealandforinstance.Quickertransportmakes possiblemass-productionandbigbusinessdrawingsuppliesfromandselling goodstoallpartsoftheglobe.Bigfactoriescouldnotexistwithout transporttocarrythelargenumberofworkerstheyneedtoandfromtheir homes.Bigcitystorescouldnothavedevelopedunlesscustomerscouldtravel easilyfromthesuburbsandgoodsdeliveredtotheirhomes.Bigcitiescouldnot surviveunlessfoodcouldbebroughtfromadistance.3?Transportalso preventswaste.Muchofthefishlandedattheportswouldbewastedifitcould notbetakenquicklytoinlandtowns.Transporthasgivenusamuchgreater varietyoffoodsandgoodssincewenolongerhavetoliveonwhatisproduced locally.Foodswhichatonetimecouldbeobtainedonlyduringapartofthe yearcannowbeobtainedallthroughtheyear.Transporthasraisedthestandard ofliving.4?Bymovingfuelrawmaterialsandevenpowerasfor examplethroughelectriccablestransporthasledtotheestablishmentof industriesandtradeinareaswheretheywouldhavebeenimpossiblebefore. Districtsandcountriescanconcentrateonmakingthingswhichtheycando betterandmorecheaplythanothersandcanthenexchangethemwithoneanother. Thecheaperandquickertransportbecomesthelongerthedistanceoverwhich goodscanprofitablybecarried.Countrieswithpoortransporthavealower standardofliving.5?Commercerequiresnotonlythemovingofgoods andpeoplebutalsothecarryingofmessagesandinformation.Meansof communicationliketelephonescablesandradiosendinformationaboutprices suppliesandchangingconditionsindifferentpartsoftheworld.Inthisway advancedcommunicationsystemsalsohelptodeveloptrade.Onlywhengoodscanbecardedtoallpartsoftheworldquickly______.
{{*HTML*}}??下面的短文有5处空白短文后有6个文字其中5个取自短文请根据短文内容将其分别放回原有位置以恢复文章原貌 ?????????? ??????????? ????????{{B}}TheDollarinWorld Markets{{/B}}??AccordingtoaleadingGermanbankertheU.S. dollaristhemostfrequentlydiscussedeconomicphenomenonofourtimes.He adds...thedollar’sexchangerateisatpresentthemostimportantpricein theworldeconomy...{{U}}?46?{{/U}}Thecentralbanksofmany countriesholdhugereservesofdollarsandoverhalfofallworldtradeis pricedintermsofdollars.Anyshiftinthedollar’sexchangeratewillbenefit someandhurtothers.{{U}}?47?{{/U}}.??Thedollar’s exchangeratehasbeentoovolatileandunpredictable.Severalyearsagothe dollarwasrapidlydeclininginvalue.{{U}}?48?{{/U}}Theriseinthe priceofforeigngoodsmadeitpossibleforU.S.businessestoraisetheprice ofcompetinggoodsproducedherethusworseninginflation.Foreignerswhodealt indollarsorwhohelddollarsasreserveswerehurt.PeopleintheUnited Stateswhohadborrowedforeigncurrenciesfoundthattheyhadtopaybackmore thantheyborrowedbecausethedecliningdollarwouldbuyfewerunitsofthe foreignmoney.{{U}}?49?{{/U}}.??Thedollarwentsoaring upwardandthesituationwasreversed.UnitedStatesexportersfoundithardto sellabroadbecauseforeignerswouldhavetopaymoreforU.S.dollars.People intheUnitedStatesnowboughttherelativelycheaperforeigngoodsandU.S. manufacturerscomplainedthattheycouldnotcompete.Joblosseswereoften blamedontheovervalueddollar.Poornationsthathadborroweddollarsfound itdifficulttorepayboththeloansandtheinterestbecausetheyhadtouse moreandmoreoftheirowncurrenciestoobtaindollars.??{{U}} ?50?{{/U}}Wemightevenreturntothegoldstandard.? ?Fixedexchangeratesdidnotworkinthepast.Currencyvaluesshouldbe determinedbymarketconditions.Adropintheexchangevalueofanation’s currencymeansthatitisimportingtoomuchthatitistooinefficientto competeinworldmarketsthatitispermittingahighrateofinflationwhich makesitsgoodstooexpensivethatitisgoingtoodeeplyindebtorthat othershavelostconfidenceinthenation’sstability.Anationshouldbringits exchangeratebackupbyaddressingtheseproblemsnotbyinterferingwiththe moneymarket.A?Thesolutiontothisproblemistoendthesystemof floatingexchangeratesandreturntofixedrates.B?Somepeople suggestthereforethatthedollar’svalueshouldbemoretightly controlled.C?TheUnitedStateslostfaceintheeyesoftherestof theworld.D?Becausethedollaractsasaworldcurrencyitsvalue affectsmanynations.E?ThismadeitdifficultforAmericansto purchaseforeigngoodsandservices.F?Thosewhoborrowedalotof moneyfromabanksufferedmost.
{{*HTML*}}??下面有3篇短文每篇短文后有5道题根据短文内容为每题确定1个最佳选项{{B}}第一篇{{/B}} ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ???????{{B}}Income{{/B}}? ?Incomemaybenationalincomeandpersonalincome.Whereasnationalincome isdefinedasthetotalearnedincomeofallthefactorsofproduction--namely profitsinterestrentwagesandothercompensationforlaborpersonal incomemaybedefinedastotalmoneyincomereceivedbyindividualsbefore personaltaxesarepaid.NationalincomedoesnotequalGNPGrossNational Productbecausethefactorsofproductiondonotreceivepaymentforeither capitalconsumptionallowancesorindirectbusinesstaxesbothofwhichare includedinGNP.Themoneyputasideforcapitalconsumptionisforreplacement andthusisnotcountedasincome.Indirecttaxesincludesalestaxesproperty taxesandexcisetaxesthatarepaidbybusinessesdirectlytothegovernment andsoreducetheincomelefttopayforthefactorsofproduction. Three-fourthsofnationalincomegoesforwagessalariesandotherformsof compensationtoemployees.??Whereasnationalincomeshowsthe incomethatthefactorsofproductionearnpersonalincomemeasurestheincome thatindividualsorhouseholdsreceive.Corporationprofitsareincludedin nationalincomebecausetheyareearned.Outoftheseprofitshowever corporationprofittaxesmustbepaidtothegovernmentandsomemoneymustbe putintothebusinessforexpansion.Onlythatpartofprofitsdistributedas dividendsgoestotheindividual;thereforeoutofcorporationprofitsonly dividendscountaspersonalincome.Thefactorsofproductionearnmoneyfor socialsecurityandunemploymentinsurancecontributionsbutthismoneygoesto governmentwhichisnotafactorofproductionnottoindividuals.Itis thereforepartofnationalincomebutnotpartofpersonalincome.? ?Ontheotherhandmoneyreceivedbyindividualswhentheycollectsocial securityorunemploymentcompensationisnotmoneyearnedbutmoneyreceived. Interestreceivedongovernmentbondsisalsointhiscategorybecausemuchof themoneyreceivedfromthesaleofbondswenttopayforwarproductionand thatproductionnolongerfurnishesaservicetotheeconomy.? ?Themoneypeoplereceiveaspersonalincomemaybeeitherspentorsaved. Howevernotallspendingiscompletelyvoluntary.Asignificantportionofour incomegoestopaypersonaltaxes.Mostworkersneverreceivethemoneytheypay inpersonaltaxesbecauseitiswithheldfromtheirpaychecks.Themoneythat individualsareleftwithaftertheyhavemettheirtaxobligationsis disposablepersonalincome.Disposableincomecanbedividedbetweenpersonal consumptionexpendituresandpersonalsavings.Itisimportanttorememberthat personalsavingiswhatisleftafterspending.Whichofthefollowingstatementsistrueaccordingtothefirstparagraph?
{{*HTML*}}? ?阅读下面这篇短文短文后列出了7个句子请根据短文的内容对每个句子作出判断如果该句提供的是正确信息请选择A项如果该句提供的是错误信息请选择B项如果该句信息文章中没有提及请选择C项 ??????? ??????????? ?????????{{B}}TheFirst SettlementinNorthAmerica{{/B}}??Itisverydifficulttosayjust whencolonizationbegan.ThefirsthundredyearsafterChristopherColumbus’s journeyofdiscoveryin1492didnotproduceanysettlementontheNorthAmerica continentbutrathersomeSpanishtradingpostsfurthersouthagreatinterest ingoldandadventureandsomecolorfulcrimesinwhichtheEnglishhadtheir part.JohnCabotoriginallyfromGenoabutacitizenofVenicewas establishedasatraderinBristolEnglandwhenhemadeajourneyin1497.But hisshiptheMatthewwithitscrewofeighteendidnomorethanseeanisland probablyofftheNewEnglandcoastandreturnhome.Heandhissonmade furthervoyagesacrossthenorthAtlanticwhichenabledtheEnglishcrownto claimalegaltitletoNorthAmerica.Butforalongtimeafterwardsthe Europeans’interestinAmericawasmainlyconfinedtotheSpanishactivities furthersouth.??Thefirstbeginningofpermanentsettlementin NorthAmericawerenearlyahundredyearsafterColumbus’sfirstvoyage.The EnglishmanSirWalterRaleighclaimedthewholeofNorthAmericaforEngland callingitVirginia.In1585hesentasmallgroupofpeoplewholandedin RoanokeIslandbuttheystayedonlyforayearandthenwentbacktoEngland withanotherexpeditionledbyDrakein1587.Asecondgroupwholandedin 1587hadalldisappearedwhenafurtherexpeditionarrivedin1590.? ?ThefirstpermanentsettlementinNorthAmericawasin1607.English capitalistsfoundedtwoVirginiacompaniesasouthernonebasedinLondonanda northernonebasedinBristol.ItwasdecidedtogivethenameNewEnglandto thenorthernarea.ThefirstsettlersinVirginiawerelittlemorethanwage slavestothecompany.Allweremenandtheexperimentwasnotverysuccessful. Manydied.Thosewhosurvivedlivedinmiserableconditions.By1619thecolony hadonlyathousandpeople.Weknowforsurethatcolonizationbeganattheendofthe15thcentury.
{{*HTML*}}??下面有3篇短文每篇短文后有5道题根据短文内容为每题确定1个最佳选项{{B}}第一篇{{/B}} ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ???????{{B}}Income{{/B}}? ?Incomemaybenationalincomeandpersonalincome.Whereasnationalincome isdefinedasthetotalearnedincomeofallthefactorsofproduction--namely profitsinterestrentwagesandothercompensationforlaborpersonal incomemaybedefinedastotalmoneyincomereceivedbyindividualsbefore personaltaxesarepaid.NationalincomedoesnotequalGNPGrossNational Productbecausethefactorsofproductiondonotreceivepaymentforeither capitalconsumptionallowancesorindirectbusinesstaxesbothofwhichare includedinGNP.Themoneyputasideforcapitalconsumptionisforreplacement andthusisnotcountedasincome.Indirecttaxesincludesalestaxesproperty taxesandexcisetaxesthatarepaidbybusinessesdirectlytothegovernment andsoreducetheincomelefttopayforthefactorsofproduction. Three-fourthsofnationalincomegoesforwagessalariesandotherformsof compensationtoemployees.??Whereasnationalincomeshowsthe incomethatthefactorsofproductionearnpersonalincomemeasurestheincome thatindividualsorhouseholdsreceive.Corporationprofitsareincludedin nationalincomebecausetheyareearned.Outoftheseprofitshowever corporationprofittaxesmustbepaidtothegovernmentandsomemoneymustbe putintothebusinessforexpansion.Onlythatpartofprofitsdistributedas dividendsgoestotheindividual;thereforeoutofcorporationprofitsonly dividendscountaspersonalincome.Thefactorsofproductionearnmoneyfor socialsecurityandunemploymentinsurancecontributionsbutthismoneygoesto governmentwhichisnotafactorofproductionnottoindividuals.Itis thereforepartofnationalincomebutnotpartofpersonalincome.? ?Ontheotherhandmoneyreceivedbyindividualswhentheycollectsocial securityorunemploymentcompensationisnotmoneyearnedbutmoneyreceived. Interestreceivedongovernmentbondsisalsointhiscategorybecausemuchof themoneyreceivedfromthesaleofbondswenttopayforwarproductionand thatproductionnolongerfurnishesaservicetotheeconomy.? ?Themoneypeoplereceiveaspersonalincomemaybeeitherspentorsaved. Howevernotallspendingiscompletelyvoluntary.Asignificantportionofour incomegoestopaypersonaltaxes.Mostworkersneverreceivethemoneytheypay inpersonaltaxesbecauseitiswithheldfromtheirpaychecks.Themoneythat individualsareleftwithaftertheyhavemettheirtaxobligationsis disposablepersonalincome.Disposableincomecanbedividedbetweenpersonal consumptionexpendituresandpersonalsavings.Itisimportanttorememberthat personalsavingiswhatisleftafterspending.Accordingtothispassagethemoneyyougetasinterestfromgovernmentbondsis
{{*HTML*}}??下面的短文有5处空白短文后有6个文字其中5个取自短文请根据短文内容将其分别放回原有位置以恢复文章原貌 ?????????? ??????????? ????????{{B}}TheDollarinWorld Markets{{/B}}??AccordingtoaleadingGermanbankertheU.S. dollaristhemostfrequentlydiscussedeconomicphenomenonofourtimes.He adds...thedollar’sexchangerateisatpresentthemostimportantpricein theworldeconomy...{{U}}?46?{{/U}}Thecentralbanksofmany countriesholdhugereservesofdollarsandoverhalfofallworldtradeis pricedintermsofdollars.Anyshiftinthedollar’sexchangeratewillbenefit someandhurtothers.{{U}}?47?{{/U}}.??Thedollar’s exchangeratehasbeentoovolatileandunpredictable.Severalyearsagothe dollarwasrapidlydeclininginvalue.{{U}}?48?{{/U}}Theriseinthe priceofforeigngoodsmadeitpossibleforU.S.businessestoraisetheprice ofcompetinggoodsproducedherethusworseninginflation.Foreignerswhodealt indollarsorwhohelddollarsasreserveswerehurt.PeopleintheUnited Stateswhohadborrowedforeigncurrenciesfoundthattheyhadtopaybackmore thantheyborrowedbecausethedecliningdollarwouldbuyfewerunitsofthe foreignmoney.{{U}}?49?{{/U}}.??Thedollarwentsoaring upwardandthesituationwasreversed.UnitedStatesexportersfoundithardto sellabroadbecauseforeignerswouldhavetopaymoreforU.S.dollars.People intheUnitedStatesnowboughttherelativelycheaperforeigngoodsandU.S. manufacturerscomplainedthattheycouldnotcompete.Joblosseswereoften blamedontheovervalueddollar.Poornationsthathadborroweddollarsfound itdifficulttorepayboththeloansandtheinterestbecausetheyhadtouse moreandmoreoftheirowncurrenciestoobtaindollars.??{{U}} ?50?{{/U}}Wemightevenreturntothegoldstandard.? ?Fixedexchangeratesdidnotworkinthepast.Currencyvaluesshouldbe determinedbymarketconditions.Adropintheexchangevalueofanation’s currencymeansthatitisimportingtoomuchthatitistooinefficientto competeinworldmarketsthatitispermittingahighrateofinflationwhich makesitsgoodstooexpensivethatitisgoingtoodeeplyindebtorthat othershavelostconfidenceinthenation’sstability.Anationshouldbringits exchangeratebackupbyaddressingtheseproblemsnotbyinterferingwiththe moneymarket.A?Thesolutiontothisproblemistoendthesystemof floatingexchangeratesandreturntofixedrates.B?Somepeople suggestthereforethatthedollar’svalueshouldbemoretightly controlled.C?TheUnitedStateslostfaceintheeyesoftherestof theworld.D?Becausethedollaractsasaworldcurrencyitsvalue affectsmanynations.E?ThismadeitdifficultforAmericansto purchaseforeigngoodsandservices.F?Thosewhoborrowedalotof moneyfromabanksufferedmost.{{*HTML*}}
{{*HTML*}}? ?阅读下面这篇短文短文后列出了7个句子请根据短文的内容对每个句子作出判断如果该句提供的是正确信息请选择A项如果该句提供的是错误信息请选择B项如果该句信息文章中没有提及请选择C项 ??????? ??????????? ?????????{{B}}TheFirst SettlementinNorthAmerica{{/B}}??Itisverydifficulttosayjust whencolonizationbegan.ThefirsthundredyearsafterChristopherColumbus’s journeyofdiscoveryin1492didnotproduceanysettlementontheNorthAmerica continentbutrathersomeSpanishtradingpostsfurthersouthagreatinterest ingoldandadventureandsomecolorfulcrimesinwhichtheEnglishhadtheir part.JohnCabotoriginallyfromGenoabutacitizenofVenicewas establishedasatraderinBristolEnglandwhenhemadeajourneyin1497.But hisshiptheMatthewwithitscrewofeighteendidnomorethanseeanisland probablyofftheNewEnglandcoastandreturnhome.Heandhissonmade furthervoyagesacrossthenorthAtlanticwhichenabledtheEnglishcrownto claimalegaltitletoNorthAmerica.Butforalongtimeafterwardsthe Europeans’interestinAmericawasmainlyconfinedtotheSpanishactivities furthersouth.??Thefirstbeginningofpermanentsettlementin NorthAmericawerenearlyahundredyearsafterColumbus’sfirstvoyage.The EnglishmanSirWalterRaleighclaimedthewholeofNorthAmericaforEngland callingitVirginia.In1585hesentasmallgroupofpeoplewholandedin RoanokeIslandbuttheystayedonlyforayearandthenwentbacktoEngland withanotherexpeditionledbyDrakein1587.Asecondgroupwholandedin 1587hadalldisappearedwhenafurtherexpeditionarrivedin1590.? ?ThefirstpermanentsettlementinNorthAmericawasin1607.English capitalistsfoundedtwoVirginiacompaniesasouthernonebasedinLondonanda northernonebasedinBristol.ItwasdecidedtogivethenameNewEnglandto thenorthernarea.ThefirstsettlersinVirginiawerelittlemorethanwage slavestothecompany.Allweremenandtheexperimentwasnotverysuccessful. Manydied.Thosewhosurvivedlivedinmiserableconditions.By1619thecolony hadonlyathousandpeople.ThefirstattemptmadebyEuropeanpeopletosettledownpermanentlyinNorthAmericaoccurredinthe1580s.
{{*HTML*}}{{B}}第二篇{{/B}} ??????? ??????????? ??????????? ????????{{B}}Forecasting Methods{{/B}}??Thereareseveraldifferentmethodsthatcanbeused tocreateaforecast.Themethodaforecasterchoosesdependsuponthe experienceoftheforecastertheamountofinformationavailabletothe forecasterthelevelofdifficultythattheforecastsituationpresentsand thedegreeofaccuracyorconfidenceneededintheforecast.??The firstofthesemethodsisthepersistencemethod;thesimplestwayofproducing aforecast.Thepersistencemethodassumesthattheconditionsatthetimeof theforecastwillnotchange.Forexampleifitissunnyand87degreetoday thepersistencemethodpredictsthatitwillbesunnyand87degreetomorrow.If twoinchesofrainfelltodaythepersistencemethodwouldpredicttwoinches ofrainfortomorrow.Howeverifweatherconditionschangesignificantlyfrom daytodaythepersistencemethodusuallybreaksdownandisnotthebest forecastingmethodtouse.??Thetrendsmethodinvolves determiningthespeedanddirectionofmovementforfrontshighandlow pressurecentersandareasofcloudsandprecipitation.Usingthisinformation theforecastercanpredictwhereheorsheexpectsthosefeaturestobeatsome futuretime.Forexampleifastormsystemis1000mileswestofyourlocation andmovingtotheeastat250milesperdayusingthetrendsmethodyouwould predictittoarriveinyourareain4days.Thetrendsmethodworkswellwhen systemscontinuetomoveatthesamespeedinthesamedirectionforalong periodoftime.Iftheyslowdownspeedupchangeintensityorchange directionthetrendsforecastwillprobablynotworkaswell.? ?Theclimatologymethodisanothersimplewayofproducingaforecast.This methodinvolvesaveragingweatherstatisticsaccumulatedovermanyyearstomake theforecast.Forexampleifyouwereusingtheclimatologymethodtopredict theweatherforNewYorkCityonJuly4thyouwouldgothroughalltheweather datathathasbeenrecordedforeveryJuly4thandtakeanaverage.The climatologymethodonlyworkswellwhentheweatherpatternissimilartothat expectedforthechosentimeofyear.Ifthepatternisquiteunusualforthe giventimeofyeartheclimatologymethodwilloftenfail.??The analogmethodisaslightlymorecomplicatedmethodofproducingaforecast.It involvesexaminingtoday’sforecastscenarioandrememberingadayinthepast whentheweatherscenariolookedverysimilarananalog.Theforecasterwould predictthattheweatherinthisforecastwillbehavethesameasitdidinthe past.Theanalogmethodisdifficulttousebecauseitisvirtuallyimpossible tofindapredictanalog.Variousweatherfeaturesrarelyalignthemselvesin thesamelocationstheywereintheprevioustime.Evensmalldifferences betweenthecurrenttimeandtheanalogcanleadtoverydifferent results.Itwillbeimpossibletomakeweatherforecastusingtheanalogmethod
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