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Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Text2 Avarietyofsignificantattractive short-termbenefitswilldrivethedevelopmentofmodernself-sufficienthomes. Theseincludesecurityfromsevereweatherclimatechangesandnatural disasters;securityfrominfectiousdiseasesandrelatedhealthproblems;a freshandnutritiousdiet;adependablefoodsupply;andsecurityfromglobal unrest.ButtherealbenefitofEarthHomeswillbethe long-termsustainabilityofourplanet.Itshouldbenosecretthattheplanet isexperiencingunusualweatherandclimateabnormalities.The10hottestyears inrecordedhistoryhaveallbeeninthelast15years;the1990swerethe hottestdecadeonrecord.TheMidwesternheatwaveof1995killed669peoplein Chicago.In1996wehadaseasonofrecordheatspellsand1997wasthesingle wannestyearonrecord--until1998shatteredglobaltemperaturerecords. Record-hightemperaturesthroughoutthesouthernUnitedStatesduringthesummer of1998forcedtheshutdownofWaltDisneyWorld’swaterparksbecauseofthe threatofaviralencephalitisoutbreak.TheUnitedNationsandinsurersblame unusualweatherforthousandsofdeathsandbillionsofdollarsin damage.Manyscientistsagreethattheemissionsresultingfrom humanactivitiesaresubstantiallyincreasingtheatmosphericconcentrationof thegreenhousegases.Theseincreaseswillenhancethegreenhouseeffect resultinginwarmingoftheearth’ssurface.In1990scientistspredictedthat ifgreenhousegasemissionsarenotsharplydecreasedwemightexperiencea1C to3Criseinglobaltemperatures.Theysuggestedthatwewouldhavetocutin halfouruseofcoaloilandgasinordertolowerouremissionsenoughto maintainconcentrationsofgreenhousegasesatthecurrentlevels. Proofofwarningincludesadecreaseintheamountofsnowthatcoversthe NorthernHemisphereasimultaneousdecreaseinArcticseaicecontinued meltingofalpineglaciersandariseinsealevel.Rainhasevenbeenreported forthefirsttimeinAntarcticaandanice-freepatchofoceanaboutamile widehasrecentlyopenedneartheNorthPole.Meanwhilestudies haveshownthatthecarbondioxideconcentrationinouratmospherehasbeen steadilyincreasingsince1958.Eventhoughtherateofemissionsfromfossil fuelshasbeenreducedconcentrationhasrisenconsistently.In 1995thesizeoftheozoneholeoverAntarcticadoubledtoaboutthesizeof Europe.Forthefirsttimeinrecordedhistorytheholestretchedover populatedareasexposingresidentsinsouthernChileandArgentinatoveryhigh levelsofultravioletUVradiation.Studieshaveshownthata1%decreasein ozoneinthestratosphereproducesa2%increaseinUVradiationreachingthe groundposingmoreriskstohumans.Whichofthefollowingsufferedthegreatesteconomiclossinthe10hottestyears
Text3 Eatingbetterandmoreadventurouslyis becominganobsessionespeciallyamongpeoplewithmoneytospend.Healthier eating-andnot-so-healthyeating-aswellasthenumberandvarietyoffood choicesandvenuescontinuetoincreaseataneverquickeningpace. Globalizationisthemastertrendthatwilldrivetheworldoffoodinthe yearsahead.Consumerstravelingtheglobebothvirtuallyandinrealitywill beabletosweepupingredientspackagedfoodsrecipesandcookingtechniques fromeverycomeroftheearthatanever-intensifyingandacceleratingpace. Formerlyremoteingredientsandcookingstylesarecreatingawholenewculinary mosaicastheyaretransplantedandreinterpretedallovertheworld. Manyfactorsarebehindthisbutnonemoresothantheinfluenceofthe greatinternationalhotelchains.Virtuallyeverychefwhohasworkedfor HiltonWestinPeninsulaoranyothermajorchaingathersglobalexperiencein localesasdiverseasSingaporeNewOrleansTorontoandDubai.Ateachstop theycarryawaycookingideasandtechniquestheycananddouse elsewhere.Thistrendwillgainevengreatermomentumas ambitiousyoungadultsstaketheirownfuturesoninternationalizationtreating broaderfoodawayasanimportantaspectoftheirownadvancement.Youngpeople willneedknowledgeoffoodandingredientsfromdifferentcontinentsand culturesasoneaspectofsocializationenculturationculturalexchangeand success.Incountryaftercountrythereseemslittledoubtthatglobalcuisine willmakeitsbiggestinroadsamongtheyoungerset.Manyinthegenerationsnow comingofagewilltreatworld-rangingfoodknowledgeandexperienceaskey elementsinfurtheringtheirpersonalplansbusinessacumenandindividual growth.TheInternethasmadeglobalcontactsamatterof routine.Computernetworkingwillpermitchefsandothersinthefoodindustry includingconsumerstolinkdirectlywiththebestavailableauthoritiesin farawaynationssupplementingorbypassingsecondhandsourcesofinformation altogether.Timewithallitsimplicationswillalsobea factorinemergingworldfoodtrends.Moreandmoreofusaredestinedto operateonglobaltime-thatisatfulltilt24hoursaday.Thiswillbecome thenormforcompanieswithresourcesscatteredallovertheplanet.Beyondthe 24-hoursupermarketsmanyofusalreadytakeforgrantedtherewillalsobe three-shiftshoppingcentersopenatanyhour.Restaurantsinthegreatbusiness capitalsintentoncultivatinganinternationalclientelewillservemidnight breakfastsorbreak-of-dawndinnerswiththeappropriatewineswithoutraising asingleeyebrow.Fromthefirsttwoparagraphswecanlearnthatthetrendoffoodobsessionis______.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Text1 Peopleinbusinesscanuseforesightto identifynewproductsandservicesaswellasmarketsforthoseproductsand services.Anincreaseinminoritypopulationsinaneighborhoodwouldprompta grocerwithforesighttostockmorefoodslinkedtoethnictastes.Anartmuseum directorwithforesightmightfollowtrendsincomputergraphicstomake exhibitsmoreappealingtoyoungervisitors.Foresightmay revealpotentialthreatsthatwecanpreparetodealwithbeforetheybecome crises.Forinstanceacorporatemanagerwithforesightmightseeanalarming riseinlocalhousingpricesthatcouldaffecttheavailabilityofskilled workersintheregion.Thepublic’schangingvaluesandprioritiesaswellas emergingtechnologiesdemographicshiftseconomicconstraintsor opportunitiesandenvironmentalandresourceconcernsareallpartsofthe increasinglycomplexworldsysteminwhichleadersmustlead. Peopleingovernmentalsoneedforesighttokeepsystemsrunningsmoothly toplanbudgetsandtopreventwars.Governmentleaderstodaymustdealwitha hostofnewproblemsemergingfromrapidadvancesintechnology. Evenatthecommunitylevelforesightiscritical:Schoolofficialsfor exampleneedforesighttoassessnumbersofstudentstoaccommodatenumbersof teacherstohireneweducationaltechnologiestodeployandnewskillsfor studentsandtheirteacherstodevelop.Manyofthebest-known techniquesforforesightweredevelopedbygovernmentplannersespeciallyin themilitarywhenthepost-WorldWarIIatomicagemadeitcriticaltothink abouttheunthinkableandprepareforit.PioneeringfuturistsattheRAND Corporationthefirstthinktankbeganseriouslyconsideringwhatnew technologiesmightemergeinthefutureandhowthesemightaffectU.S. security.ThesepioneeringfuturistsatRANDalongwithotherselsewhere refinedavarietyofnewwaysforthinkingaboutthefuture.The futuristsrecognizedthatthefutureworldiscontinuouswiththepresentworld sowecanlearnagreatdealaboutwhatmayhappeninthefuturebylooking systematicallyatwhatishappeningnow.Thekeythingtowatchisnotevents suddendevelopmentsorone-dayoccurrencesbuttrendslong-termongoingshifts insuchthingsaspopulationlandusetechnologyandgovernmentalsystems .Usingthesetechniquesandmanyothersfuturistsnowcantell usmanythingsthatmayhappeninthefuture.Somearenearlycertaintohappen suchasthecontinuingexpansionintheworld’spopulation.Othereventsare viewedasfarlesslikelybutcouldbeextremelyimportantiftheydooccur suchasanasteroidcollidingwiththeplanet.Thebesttitleforthepassagemaybe______.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Text1 Peopleinbusinesscanuseforesightto identifynewproductsandservicesaswellasmarketsforthoseproductsand services.Anincreaseinminoritypopulationsinaneighborhoodwouldprompta grocerwithforesighttostockmorefoodslinkedtoethnictastes.Anartmuseum directorwithforesightmightfollowtrendsincomputergraphicstomake exhibitsmoreappealingtoyoungervisitors.Foresightmay revealpotentialthreatsthatwecanpreparetodealwithbeforetheybecome crises.Forinstanceacorporatemanagerwithforesightmightseeanalarming riseinlocalhousingpricesthatcouldaffecttheavailabilityofskilled workersintheregion.Thepublic’schangingvaluesandprioritiesaswellas emergingtechnologiesdemographicshiftseconomicconstraintsor opportunitiesandenvironmentalandresourceconcernsareallpartsofthe increasinglycomplexworldsysteminwhichleadersmustlead. Peopleingovernmentalsoneedforesighttokeepsystemsrunningsmoothly toplanbudgetsandtopreventwars.Governmentleaderstodaymustdealwitha hostofnewproblemsemergingfromrapidadvancesintechnology. Evenatthecommunitylevelforesightiscritical:Schoolofficialsfor exampleneedforesighttoassessnumbersofstudentstoaccommodatenumbersof teacherstohireneweducationaltechnologiestodeployandnewskillsfor studentsandtheirteacherstodevelop.Manyofthebest-known techniquesforforesightweredevelopedbygovernmentplannersespeciallyin themilitarywhenthepost-WorldWarIIatomicagemadeitcriticaltothink abouttheunthinkableandprepareforit.PioneeringfuturistsattheRAND Corporationthefirstthinktankbeganseriouslyconsideringwhatnew technologiesmightemergeinthefutureandhowthesemightaffectU.S. security.ThesepioneeringfuturistsatRANDalongwithotherselsewhere refinedavarietyofnewwaysforthinkingaboutthefuture.The futuristsrecognizedthatthefutureworldiscontinuouswiththepresentworld sowecanlearnagreatdealaboutwhatmayhappeninthefuturebylooking systematicallyatwhatishappeningnow.Thekeythingtowatchisnotevents suddendevelopmentsorone-dayoccurrencesbuttrendslong-termongoingshifts insuchthingsaspopulationlandusetechnologyandgovernmentalsystems .Usingthesetechniquesandmanyothersfuturistsnowcantell usmanythingsthatmayhappeninthefuture.Somearenearlycertaintohappen suchasthecontinuingexpansionintheworld’spopulation.Othereventsare viewedasfarlesslikelybutcouldbeextremelyimportantiftheydooccur suchasanasteroidcollidingwiththeplanet.Correctlyexercisingforesightisshowninthecaseof______.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Text2 Avarietyofsignificantattractive short-termbenefitswilldrivethedevelopmentofmodernself-sufficienthomes. Theseincludesecurityfromsevereweatherclimatechangesandnatural disasters;securityfrominfectiousdiseasesandrelatedhealthproblems;a freshandnutritiousdiet;adependablefoodsupply;andsecurityfromglobal unrest.ButtherealbenefitofEarthHomeswillbethe long-termsustainabilityofourplanet.Itshouldbenosecretthattheplanet isexperiencingunusualweatherandclimateabnormalities.The10hottestyears inrecordedhistoryhaveallbeeninthelast15years;the1990swerethe hottestdecadeonrecord.TheMidwesternheatwaveof1995killed669peoplein Chicago.In1996wehadaseasonofrecordheatspellsand1997wasthesingle wannestyearonrecord--until1998shatteredglobaltemperaturerecords. Record-hightemperaturesthroughoutthesouthernUnitedStatesduringthesummer of1998forcedtheshutdownofWaltDisneyWorld’swaterparksbecauseofthe threatofaviralencephalitisoutbreak.TheUnitedNationsandinsurersblame unusualweatherforthousandsofdeathsandbillionsofdollarsin damage.Manyscientistsagreethattheemissionsresultingfrom humanactivitiesaresubstantiallyincreasingtheatmosphericconcentrationof thegreenhousegases.Theseincreaseswillenhancethegreenhouseeffect resultinginwarmingoftheearth’ssurface.In1990scientistspredictedthat ifgreenhousegasemissionsarenotsharplydecreasedwemightexperiencea1C to3Criseinglobaltemperatures.Theysuggestedthatwewouldhavetocutin halfouruseofcoaloilandgasinordertolowerouremissionsenoughto maintainconcentrationsofgreenhousegasesatthecurrentlevels. Proofofwarningincludesadecreaseintheamountofsnowthatcoversthe NorthernHemisphereasimultaneousdecreaseinArcticseaicecontinued meltingofalpineglaciersandariseinsealevel.Rainhasevenbeenreported forthefirsttimeinAntarcticaandanice-freepatchofoceanaboutamile widehasrecentlyopenedneartheNorthPole.Meanwhilestudies haveshownthatthecarbondioxideconcentrationinouratmospherehasbeen steadilyincreasingsince1958.Eventhoughtherateofemissionsfromfossil fuelshasbeenreducedconcentrationhasrisenconsistently.In 1995thesizeoftheozoneholeoverAntarcticadoubledtoaboutthesizeof Europe.Forthefirsttimeinrecordedhistorytheholestretchedover populatedareasexposingresidentsinsouthernChileandArgentinatoveryhigh levelsofultravioletUVradiation.Studieshaveshownthata1%decreasein ozoneinthestratosphereproducesa2%increaseinUVradiationreachingthe groundposingmoreriskstohumans.Wecaninferfromthepassagethat______.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
Text1 Peopleinbusinesscanuseforesightto identifynewproductsandservicesaswellasmarketsforthoseproductsand services.Anincreaseinminoritypopulationsinaneighborhoodwouldprompta grocerwithforesighttostockmorefoodslinkedtoethnictastes.Anartmuseum directorwithforesightmightfollowtrendsincomputergraphicstomake exhibitsmoreappealingtoyoungervisitors.Foresightmay revealpotentialthreatsthatwecanpreparetodealwithbeforetheybecome crises.Forinstanceacorporatemanagerwithforesightmightseeanalarming riseinlocalhousingpricesthatcouldaffecttheavailabilityofskilled workersintheregion.Thepublic’schangingvaluesandprioritiesaswellas emergingtechnologiesdemographicshiftseconomicconstraintsor opportunitiesandenvironmentalandresourceconcernsareallpartsofthe increasinglycomplexworldsysteminwhichleadersmustlead. Peopleingovernmentalsoneedforesighttokeepsystemsrunningsmoothly toplanbudgetsandtopreventwars.Governmentleaderstodaymustdealwitha hostofnewproblemsemergingfromrapidadvancesintechnology. Evenatthecommunitylevelforesightiscritical:Schoolofficialsfor exampleneedforesighttoassessnumbersofstudentstoaccommodatenumbersof teacherstohireneweducationaltechnologiestodeployandnewskillsfor studentsandtheirteacherstodevelop.Manyofthebest-known techniquesforforesightweredevelopedbygovernmentplannersespeciallyin themilitarywhenthepost-WorldWarIIatomicagemadeitcriticaltothink abouttheunthinkableandprepareforit.PioneeringfuturistsattheRAND Corporationthefirstthinktankbeganseriouslyconsideringwhatnew technologiesmightemergeinthefutureandhowthesemightaffectU.S. security.ThesepioneeringfuturistsatRANDalongwithotherselsewhere refinedavarietyofnewwaysforthinkingaboutthefuture.The futuristsrecognizedthatthefutureworldiscontinuouswiththepresentworld sowecanlearnagreatdealaboutwhatmayhappeninthefuturebylooking systematicallyatwhatishappeningnow.Thekeythingtowatchisnotevents suddendevelopmentsorone-dayoccurrencesbuttrendslong-termongoingshifts insuchthingsaspopulationlandusetechnologyandgovernmentalsystems .Usingthesetechniquesandmanyothersfuturistsnowcantell usmanythingsthatmayhappeninthefuture.Somearenearlycertaintohappen suchasthecontinuingexpansionintheworld’spopulation.Othereventsare viewedasfarlesslikelybutcouldbeextremelyimportantiftheydooccur suchasanasteroidcollidingwiththeplanet.AllthefollowingarecitedasexamplesoftheimportanceofexercisingforesightEXCEPT______.
Itisanastonishingfactthatthere arelawsofnaturerulesthatsummarizeconveniently-1 qualitativelybutquantitatively-howtheworldworks.Wemight 2auniverseinwhichtherearenosuchlawsinwhichthe 1080elementaryparticlesthat3auniverselikeourown behavewithutteranduncompromisingabandon.Tounderstandsuchauniversewe wouldneedabrain4asmassiveastheuniverse.It seems5thatsuchauniversecouldhavelifeand intelligencebecausebeingandbrains6somedegreeof internalstabilityandorder.But7inamuchmorerandom universethereweresuchbeingswithanintelligencemuch8 thanourowntherecouldnotbemuchknowledgepassionorjoy. 9forusweliveinauniversethathasatleast importantpartsthatareknowable.Ourcommon-senseexperienceandour evolutionaryhistoryhave10ustounderstandsomethingof theworkadayworld.Whenwegointootherrealmshowevercommonsenseand ordinaryintuition11highlyunreliableguides.Itis stunningthataswegoclosetothespeedoflightourmass12 indefinitelyweshrinktowardzerothickness13 thedirectionofmotionandtimeforuscomesasneartostoppingas wewouldlike.Manypeoplethinkthatthisissillyandeveryweek 14Igetaletterfromsomeonewhocomplainstomeaboutit. Butitisvirtuallycertainconsequencenotjustofexperimentbutalsoof AlbertEinstein’s15analysisofspaceandtimecalledthe SpecialTheoryofRelativity.Itdoesnotmatterthattheseeffectsseem unreasonabletous.Wearenot16thehabitoftraveling closetothespeedoflight.Thetestimonyofourcommonsenseissuspectat highvelocities.Theideathattheworldplacesrestrictions on17humansmightdoisfrustrating.Whyshouldn’twebe abletohaveintermediaterotationalpositionsWhycan’twe18 fasterthanthespeedoflightBut19wecan tellthisisthewaytheuniverseisconstructed.Suchprohibitionsnotonly 20ustowardalittlehumility;theyalsomaketheworldmore knowable.
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